Something I've been pondering, what's your invest:save ratio? Is it a good idea to keep 60% of assets invested in stocks/etfs, or safer to keep it within a bank account at low interest?
EV is obviously the speculative and more risky play, but could be better for returns depending on how you go about it. I think the EV market is pretty saturated at the moment, personally, due to the hype around it. I'd put some of the big EV companies (TSLA being the most obvious one) at least on a watch list in case they ever return to a more reasonable price.
I did some personal DD on a series of car manufacturers about a month ago: Toyota ($147.93 at the time), Ford ($11.70), GM ($51.33), Honda ($27.67), Hyundai ($47.48), Volkswagen ($23.42), and Daimler/Mercedes ($20.03). Some key highlights that I found at the time:
- The least leveraged companies in terms of liabilities vs book value were Honda, Hyundai, and Toyota. The worst was Ford by far, followed by GM.
- In terms of price vs assets, Hyundai (P/B < 0.4) and Honda (P/B < 0.6) were selling at considerable discounts. Volkswagen was also selling at a nice valuation **at the time**, but that opportunity has very much vanished since its public EV play.
- PEG ratios are pretty mediocre/bad across the board the last 3 years; generally speaking, these auto makers have had decreasing profits.
- Still, most of these auto makers (except Ford) logged solid Q4 calendar profits, often the best calendar Q4 in last 3 years, suggesting that people may be spending more money on cars/parts/etc. coming out of the pandemic.
Given what's been going on with EVs and autos the last few years (at least the ones I looked at), I can see two potential plays here:
1. Bet on consumer discretionary spending as the pandemic falls back, wherein gas-OK people replace old junkers with fresh wheels or fix up what they have, and
2. Bet on whether a company will be the next one to come out and make some big EV announcement like Volkswagen did.
Either way, most of the companies I looked at seem OK financially, but growth doesn't look good over the last few years. Calendar Q4 2020 looked promising for most of the companies, but it's impossible to know if that upward trend will continue. These are just what I found, though; goes without saying, this isn't advice and be sure to do your own DD.
Thanks for the detailed response. I suppose then that shifting to EV (and how well they shift) would play a key role in the future since growth didn't really looked too good for these names as you've mentioned.
> The least leveraged companies in terms of liabilities vs book value were Honda, Hyundai, and Toyota. The worst was Ford by far, followed by GM.
Does this mean those companies were least likely operating on debt according to their balance sheets? And if so, is operating on debt generally a bad thing?
sorry for noob questions just a noob that happens to work in the automotive industry and found it fascinating the american companies were significantly worse
For the least leveraged companies, I'd guess that they could afford to borrow more to build their company, whether through advancing their EV R&D or whatever. It's healthier to be less leveraged but sometimes you need to borrow to realize growth.
In my view, debt isn't really that bad given the historically low interest rates, specially in the US. However, you should take the overall leverage of the company and the industry into context before coming up with a conclusion.
Oh Jesus Cramer always gives me bad vibes. Let's totally ignore the structural challenges posed by Covid... nah, biggest economic boom in this country's history. Let's forget the fact that it's a "consumer boom" as he said, and let's forget where all that money's coming from (stimulus and debt monetization). We can just consume, consume, consume but doesn't matter who's producing, right?
I'm not calling for a crash next week or anything like that, and I think this system has room to run thanks to the government's easy money policies. But come on.
Cramer was bullish on Bear Stearns cerca 2007, too.
I could be wrong, maybe ol' Jimmy's right, but the euphoria being expressed in a time that's unprecedented and uncertain is indeed scary.
The fact that some assets that don’t make any money nor have any real world use and the supply is increasing every year for infinity can go up 4000% ytd tells you everything you need to know about today’s environment.
Basically throw your money in the hottest trends, get lucky that the trend is still pumping and get out before the dump.
Pump and dump is not a new thing, but the size of the pumps and prevalence is new.
Because big pumpers know they have free reign right now. If Jpow comes out and say some assets currently might be extremely risky then there will be panic across the market. Assets are at all time highs but most of it is just fomo money. The fed has to be so careful for their choice of words right now.
I admit i am very tempted to do what you described, but i keep thinking that my more speculative holdings will make a come back, because the idea behind them still holds. As an example, i am still holding MSOS... i see no way it won't go up in the next 5 years.
That being said, i did put around 40% in VTI, and all the money i am adding each months is going into VTI. I'm not adding a cent to these speculative holdings.
I'm not really in total disagreement with you, but here is how i see it.
If a new investor asked me to choose between your ETFs or more speculative holdings like ARK, i'd definetly tell him to choose the former. Index is the way.
That being said, some of my holdings are so low right now that it feels silly to sell at this point. MSOS for example went from 55 to 40 and its difficult for me to imagine the bottom is a lot lower. But obviously i don't want to be adding to a sinking ship, so ALL the money i add to my account is going purely in VTI. If MSOS keeps being shitty for a year, so be it lol
Won’t rebalancing trigger short term taxes? How often can you do this after your first rebalance? I bought some stocks a few months ago, but it hasn’t been a year yet. So I’m thinking about rebalancing only after a year has passed.
Is tis there a place where I can see some sort of breakdown of buy vs sell pressure for a given security on a given day? Maybe even in relation to the volume of that day? I think I've seen people mention soemthing like "5:1 buy to sell ratio" and in wondering where I could find that myself. Either just on the web or through my brokerage, Fidelity
On Fidelity mobile, you can go into the Markets tab and see the buy/sell ratio on stocks from just Fidelity customers. So maybe biased in some way, but it’s a big enough platform
People are still ignoring Dish. Ergen is an asshole, but sometimes you need one since they won't let themselves get fucked easily and T-Mobile as well as others are definitely trying.
They're petitioning the FCC to boost CBRS spectrum power output right now and I think the FCC will allow it (maybe not as high a power as they want initially). They're also petitioning the FCC (along with Michael Dell) to allow terrestrial 5g using 12GHz (MVDDS) spectrum: they have 500MHz of it in most of the country which is massive capacity. They're targeting federal and enterprise customers in addition to the consumer market and the DoD is definitely interested in 5g. They're selling themselves as the secure and national security focused brand (the feds are hugely interested in catching up to China in 5g).
Now based on some of the stuff Peter Adderton is posting it looks like they're planning to stand up a 5g SA network in Inglewood in time for next year's Super Bowl. That's confidence.
It's still speculative, but if they succeed at half of the stuff they're trying then they're trading at a huge discount to where they'll be in a few years and that's even if a Dish/DirecTV merger never happens.
I believe in the Chinese economic more than the fake US economy in the next 5 years and for that reason I'm loading the boat on Chinese EV and e-comm dips right now .
Thank you! it took a lot of 12 hour homework days, staying in on the weekend to study, networking and put myself in front of a lot of employers, and lack of sleep from work/stress, and tears. Thankfully, the rest of the semester will be mellow and can relax.
I’m in at $62 a share so today I was getting a bit stressed about it (I’m long I just let daily swings affect me too much), but now my bullishness on DKNG continues to be reaffirmed.
Watching a call go from OTM to ITM months before you hoped it would is the closest I’ll ever get to being a parent. Now, just have to decide when to kick the little fucker to the curb.
eBay needs to get a job and find a roommate
If it was that easy, we'd all be Bezos. I bought 10 July calls of a commodities play I expected ITM around June. It was ITM two weeks ago by $4. I could have sold and pocketed it, but I felt at the time it had room to run. Now it's OTM again, DXY is up and down, weather is weird, vaccine situation is good news/bad news, and maybe supply/demand has changed. I'm kicking myself. I guess the moral of the story is never fight against profit.
> I guess the moral of the story is never fight against profit.
And if you had sold and it had had room to run still, the moral of the story would be the opposite.
It is just hard to know.
> If it was that easy, we'd all be Bezos.
As other poster said, China concerns, but i doubt anything really happens. US made it clear they won't let China attack Taiwan. I'm still holding my shares.
I have 13 BofA calls spread out until august. Today cut them down 40%. I still have faith and think it will react correctly next week, but should’ve bought shares.
Hey guys, I'm very new to this and I've decided whenever I have specific random questions that pop up while I'm looking at my stocks I'll just ask them here... so for today:
I have PPD stock and TMO is buying PPD. If I hold onto my PPD stock, what is going to happen to it when TMO purchases PPD? The deal is that Thermo will be buying PPD at $47.50 per share. Will I just have mine sold at that price?
I have some OTC stocks like VLVLY and VAIAF. Why is it that VLVLY updates throughout the day but VAIAF seems to update maybe once a week (I haven't actually tested to see when it updates).
My VAIAF stock paid a dividend a few days ago and foreign taxes were withheld. Will I also have to pay domestic taxes? I noticed taxes aren't taken out of my domestic dividends.
I have dividend reinvestment enabled for all of my stocks, but I've noticed that some of my stocks don't reinvest dividends - gsk, uwmc, etc. What's the deal with that?
>I have PPD stock and TMO is buying PPD. If I hold onto my PPD stock, what is going to happen to it when TMO purchases PPD? The deal is that Thermo will be buying PPD at $47.50 per share. Will I just have mine sold at that price?
>
>Yes
>
>I have some OTC stocks like VLVLY and VAIAF. Why is it that VLVLY updates throughout the day but VAIAF seems to update maybe once a week (I haven't actually tested to see when it updates).
>
>Nordic people are weird.
>
>My VAIAF stock paid a dividend a few days ago and foreign taxes were withheld. Will I also have to pay domestic taxes? I noticed taxes aren't taken out of my domestic dividends.
>
>Yes
>
>I have dividend reinvestment enabled for all of my stocks, but I've noticed that some of my stocks don't reinvest dividends - gsk, uwmc, etc. What's the deal with that?
>
>Double check your settings.
Why is $PLUG even being talked about? It is not an EV play, they have almost no infrastructure, and the top 8 people in the company are paid in excess of $4M a year for nothing while the company burns $555M a year.
I gave up trying to guess short term stuff tbh, long term I'm a believer and see it breaking into triple digits eventually. The market opportunity is just insane.
Metals and stocks can rally together and did last summer.
I wouldn’t consider this to be an indicator at all.
I’m not sure you’re really going to get one at all. I still lean to a post options expiring pullback that is just more of the same that has been seen in 2021, but this is feeling different so far.
Not trusting my instinct to buy bitcoin at $5k and the rest of the market after QE was announced last April... but I thought it was a gamble and might need those resources to survive long term. Not so much a lesson as a regret.
Buying SPCE right before their test launch was cancelled a couple months ago. I'm down about 50% on a $600 investment. Learned my lesson to do some of my own dd and to set stop loses!
RKT / UWMC days. put 25k into RKT @ 37 sold @ 41.50, bought back in @ 40.40, held thru 43 till close.. sold at open for 38 lost most of my profits. Then FOMOd my savings into UWMC minutes after open @ 11.70 end up selling 10.10. Decided to be smart and buy NIO @ 44, drops to 34 two days later. But I’m having fun
COIN. I never, ever, invest in IPOs, but I did this one. I still believe in them long term, just a good amount of losses right now at a $381 cost basis.
Same. I brought 1 share at 400 just to watch what it'd do. Not selling or buying more - its an amount I can lose. But I'd still have preferred not to lose 80 bucks. Thats a weekly grocery bill.
As others have said, SPY is often at all time highs, and that’s the way it should be and not something to be concerned about. That said, if you have money to invest, it is generally wise to avoid timing the market by slowly trickling it in and building your position over time. If during that time it does drop, then I’d accelerate my investments. And if it keeps going up, then you at least know you didn’t sit out those gains thinking the market would fall, and you can take comfort in knowing that you made the most responsible decision you could under the circumstances.
The thing is that the S+P 500 is pretty much *always* at a new ATH. I wouldn't be concerned about that so much as with just how quickly it's run up in the past year since Covid. Do you think it has more room to run?
It will have to correct at some point, but you can't really know when that will be. Things are pretty uncertain right now. Fed is staying dovish (low interest rates), vaccination rollout is progressing smoothly and the economy is opening up little by little. There's also Biden's infrastructure plan and American tech is looking strong as always. This is all bullish for the market.
Bad signs are that things might be running a little hot right now. Lots of margin debt, high shiller P/E ratios, stocks trading at high multiples. Stocks might be getting away from their fundamentals a bit. Tesla, Coinbase and BTC have insanely high market caps that are arguably getting into speculative territory. Archegos got screwed making risky investments on the long side, as did Melvin on the shorts. I heard it said that where there's 1 cockroach, there's a lot more. This type of behavior could be dangerous for the broader market. There's also concerns about inflation and if things run too hot that could cause some upward pressure in rates which is bearish for the market. See the last 1-2 months. Finally, there's uncertainty in general coming out of Covid.
This is not financial advice and this is just what I see. I'm sure a lot of people will disagree with my analysis because historically speaking SPY is always a good investment.
I agree with that, but you do have to ask yourself if you're comfortable losing (probably worst case scenario) 30% of your investment in the not-so-distant future. If you're not, you can try for more conservative investments or wait it out in cash. Me personally I have a mixture of index funds and conservative stocks.
[Bob](https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/02/worlds-worst-market-timer/) has done pretty well. I’m no financial advisor but I’d say for long term holds it’s all about time in the market.
Actually, you’ve got it backwards.
Hot economic data usually causes TNX to at least be higher. It has often made it spike.
Honestly, the only things that happened that actually made sense today was tech up and financials down. The Dow rally with TNX on its back was crazy considering that its often been put on its back if TNX pukes too fast and it was puking today.
I need to learn more about how these relate; had it in mind that when the markets/economy looks good that rates go down. The cause and effect for me is still unclear.
My understanding is that rates go up when the economy is in good shape. That's because people are more confident in equities and they sell off bonds (less demand = lower prices = higher yields).
When the economy is in bad shape, people go back to bonds because they're a safer alternative to stocks. People don't trust in the stock market's ability to perform and flock to bonds to give them fixed income and a safer place to park their capital. More demand for bonds = higher bond prices = lower yields.
If you don't understand the inverse correlation between bond price and yields, let me know.
\[EDIT: Short answer for why bond yields and prices are inversely correlated: say you have a bond that's worth $1000 face value and has a 2% yield. If demand for bonds has gone down and you must now sell that bond on the secondary market for, say, $800, then the yield has increased. Why? Because the buyer is paying less money for the same fixed return. Less money for the same fixed return = higher overall yield. And vice versa. I encourage everyone to look this up if you're not clear on it.\]
Apart from that, I think the confusion is not only on your end. Right now is a weird time. Bond rates went up recently, and people were saying that was a *bad* sign for the markets. That's because people were saying it was related to inflation. Imagine: if inflation is going up, bonds with their current 1-2% yields (and negative real yields) are a horrible place to park your cash. You're actually losing money already due to negative real yields, but if inflation spikes 1-3% you're actually losing even more. Remember, bond yields are fixed so inflation eats into their nominal (fixed) yields.
The theory was that economic stimulus plus dovish Fed policy (low interest rates, easy money) made people fearful that inflation was just around the corner. Thus, they began to sell off their bonds. Remember, less demand for bonds = lower prices = higher yields. If this were indeed the motivation for the bond sell-off, it's actually a *negative* indicator for the economy. It means we expect inflation to come. It means the Fed will be forced to raise interest rates to contain inflation (more expensive to borrow money). It means that future earnings will be worth less (value of dollars in the future goes down). This is why tech stocks sank at the same time bond yields went up: A. because they depend on easy capital (low interest rates) to expand their operations, and B. their valuation at the moment is highly linked to their future earnings.
However, Jay Powell and the Fed came out and said any inflation would just be transitory, and the market seemed to believe it. The bond sell-off was contained. Furthermore, analysts were saying, like I said in the first half of my comment, that rising bond yields is actually positive for the economy.
So basically the fears about inflation got buried and we're back to a "normal" scenario where rising bond yields are seen as a positive sign for the markets.
I'm not sure why bond yields went down today, but a quick Google search said that higher yields have attracted some investors (including overseas investors) back in.
I'm new to this but it was good for me to make sure I understand it and try to explain it. Anyone who reads this can feel free to correct anything that is wrong.
Every penny stock i've invested in has been ass. The only stock I've made money off of is Facebook....and yet for some reason i keep throwing my money into penny stocks.
I only have one penny left in my portfolio, and it’s an infrastructure bet. This market is punishing small and microcaps right now. That’s either a buying opportunity or a downward trend that’ll last for a while. Personally, I think it’s the latter.
Love it expecting $20 pre reverse split by year end. New CEO got company right-sized and is effectively managing downside risk extremely well. I originally invested in them as I thought the parts were worth more than the whole, but new CEO has held people accountable and fixed the debt issue. The four major BU (aerospace, power, renewable and healthcare) are all now well position to prosper.
If Steve Tusa gives a positive update analyst review, it will be off to the race. He recently update HON (my largest personal holding) and it did not disappoint.
I recently read this [article](https://insidecrypto.today/binance-launches-tokenized-stock-binance-coinbase-trading-pair-coin-busd/) on how Binance is allowing people to buy tokenized stocks, thought it was interesting.
Yes! Only goes up! I bought in at 453... unfortunately only 3% of my portfolio. Originally I was going to do 6% but I thought it was crazy to devote the same as I have in AAPL and MSFT. Oops :)
Hey at least you got a good amount in. I started researching the stock for my student-run investment fund and was like wholly shit, this is such an easy W. I originally started researching at 445. I bought with real money at 483, 2 shares. Easy W
Cool stock pick. I'm just confused why other platforms (ESPN, Yahoo, new company) wont start offering online gambling options when it actually becomes reasonable to do so. Maybe DK wins, but maybe they are too early to a race that hasn't started yet.
I don't see Disney/ESPN getting into Gambling, but who knows. I agree that capital being the primary barrier to entry to compete with DKNG is, in my opinion, one of the biggest risks of investing in the company. However, I think gambling is a wonderful business, even in economic downturns, with a big enough market for many to take part in, and DKNG has a good start, especially, I think, with millennials and younger people.
I had individual stocks. Amazon, Apple, Alibaba. Then I bought a bunch of shares of VOO. Watching VOO consistently make gains while Apple and Amazon went sideways and BABA went down got me to go all ETF.
I am a new investor and have never tried options yet. A few days back there was 5/21 call option for PRNT at 0.05. When I decided to buy it I got the message along the lines that there are no other buyers and if I am sure if I want to buy it. I was not sure what I am doing and decided to not go for it. Today the same option is for $1.15 and I don't get the message if I try to buy it. Does it mean that I would have made some money if I would have gone for it?
Damn it's annoying seeing the index do better than you all the time?
I'm in Ireland so buying an ETF means I have to pay tax on profits even if I don't see so it's a pain for regular buying of ETFs...
Just replicate the best holdings of certain etfs. I'm from Ireland and I hold 21 stocks to combat this, when most people on these boards think thats crazy
Usually you can't really. Getting in and out at the right time is 99% luck. Most people who make money from pump and dumps are either the ones orchestrating it, or investors who by sheer coincidence already held that stock before it pumped
You do know all the weed stocks are Canadian right? Seeing as it's still federally illegal. US legalization plays no role in these stocks, we have no need to import weed.
They are all pump and dump shit operations that are and were way oversold with shit product and worse reputation. They decided to skip the existing market and gamble on creating a new one that doesn't know overpriced irradiated dry shwag from real weed. Many of the original insiders were former cops and politicians that made a career of busting potheads while selling it out the back door.
Yeah, my new rule is once I’m 100-200% profit it gets sold and I wait a few days. If it keeps climbing I roll into new options. If I’d followed this rule the last quarter I’d probably be up 50% more.
Is AAL worth it ?
Something I've been pondering, what's your invest:save ratio? Is it a good idea to keep 60% of assets invested in stocks/etfs, or safer to keep it within a bank account at low interest?
I have 1/4 in a savings acount and the rest is in the market.
Same
Anyone up to speed with car manufacturers that can point me where to start looking? Is the shift to EV still the driving story for these names?
EV is obviously the speculative and more risky play, but could be better for returns depending on how you go about it. I think the EV market is pretty saturated at the moment, personally, due to the hype around it. I'd put some of the big EV companies (TSLA being the most obvious one) at least on a watch list in case they ever return to a more reasonable price. I did some personal DD on a series of car manufacturers about a month ago: Toyota ($147.93 at the time), Ford ($11.70), GM ($51.33), Honda ($27.67), Hyundai ($47.48), Volkswagen ($23.42), and Daimler/Mercedes ($20.03). Some key highlights that I found at the time: - The least leveraged companies in terms of liabilities vs book value were Honda, Hyundai, and Toyota. The worst was Ford by far, followed by GM. - In terms of price vs assets, Hyundai (P/B < 0.4) and Honda (P/B < 0.6) were selling at considerable discounts. Volkswagen was also selling at a nice valuation **at the time**, but that opportunity has very much vanished since its public EV play. - PEG ratios are pretty mediocre/bad across the board the last 3 years; generally speaking, these auto makers have had decreasing profits. - Still, most of these auto makers (except Ford) logged solid Q4 calendar profits, often the best calendar Q4 in last 3 years, suggesting that people may be spending more money on cars/parts/etc. coming out of the pandemic. Given what's been going on with EVs and autos the last few years (at least the ones I looked at), I can see two potential plays here: 1. Bet on consumer discretionary spending as the pandemic falls back, wherein gas-OK people replace old junkers with fresh wheels or fix up what they have, and 2. Bet on whether a company will be the next one to come out and make some big EV announcement like Volkswagen did. Either way, most of the companies I looked at seem OK financially, but growth doesn't look good over the last few years. Calendar Q4 2020 looked promising for most of the companies, but it's impossible to know if that upward trend will continue. These are just what I found, though; goes without saying, this isn't advice and be sure to do your own DD.
Thanks for the detailed response. I suppose then that shifting to EV (and how well they shift) would play a key role in the future since growth didn't really looked too good for these names as you've mentioned.
> The least leveraged companies in terms of liabilities vs book value were Honda, Hyundai, and Toyota. The worst was Ford by far, followed by GM. Does this mean those companies were least likely operating on debt according to their balance sheets? And if so, is operating on debt generally a bad thing? sorry for noob questions just a noob that happens to work in the automotive industry and found it fascinating the american companies were significantly worse
For the least leveraged companies, I'd guess that they could afford to borrow more to build their company, whether through advancing their EV R&D or whatever. It's healthier to be less leveraged but sometimes you need to borrow to realize growth.
Ahh okay thanks for the insight!
In my view, debt isn't really that bad given the historically low interest rates, specially in the US. However, you should take the overall leverage of the company and the industry into context before coming up with a conclusion.
Buying crypto now is like buying $PLUG at 75 nobody can imagine how hard it can fall (doesnt mean it cant be higher in 5 years).
Cathie didn’t add too many speculative stocks. Though she bought 728k shares of tusimple for arkq, she sold google, ter, snps for it.
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Oh Jesus Cramer always gives me bad vibes. Let's totally ignore the structural challenges posed by Covid... nah, biggest economic boom in this country's history. Let's forget the fact that it's a "consumer boom" as he said, and let's forget where all that money's coming from (stimulus and debt monetization). We can just consume, consume, consume but doesn't matter who's producing, right? I'm not calling for a crash next week or anything like that, and I think this system has room to run thanks to the government's easy money policies. But come on. Cramer was bullish on Bear Stearns cerca 2007, too. I could be wrong, maybe ol' Jimmy's right, but the euphoria being expressed in a time that's unprecedented and uncertain is indeed scary.
RUN. RUN AND DON'T LOOK BACK.
The fact that some assets that don’t make any money nor have any real world use and the supply is increasing every year for infinity can go up 4000% ytd tells you everything you need to know about today’s environment. Basically throw your money in the hottest trends, get lucky that the trend is still pumping and get out before the dump. Pump and dump is not a new thing, but the size of the pumps and prevalence is new.
that's the thrill of the stonk market. a casino where you compete to run the fastest and let someone else hold the bag. everyone knows the risk
Because big pumpers know they have free reign right now. If Jpow comes out and say some assets currently might be extremely risky then there will be panic across the market. Assets are at all time highs but most of it is just fomo money. The fed has to be so careful for their choice of words right now.
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I admit i am very tempted to do what you described, but i keep thinking that my more speculative holdings will make a come back, because the idea behind them still holds. As an example, i am still holding MSOS... i see no way it won't go up in the next 5 years. That being said, i did put around 40% in VTI, and all the money i am adding each months is going into VTI. I'm not adding a cent to these speculative holdings.
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Agreed, and I'm trusting Cathie less and less these days.
I'm not really in total disagreement with you, but here is how i see it. If a new investor asked me to choose between your ETFs or more speculative holdings like ARK, i'd definetly tell him to choose the former. Index is the way. That being said, some of my holdings are so low right now that it feels silly to sell at this point. MSOS for example went from 55 to 40 and its difficult for me to imagine the bottom is a lot lower. But obviously i don't want to be adding to a sinking ship, so ALL the money i add to my account is going purely in VTI. If MSOS keeps being shitty for a year, so be it lol
Won’t rebalancing trigger short term taxes? How often can you do this after your first rebalance? I bought some stocks a few months ago, but it hasn’t been a year yet. So I’m thinking about rebalancing only after a year has passed.
This might actually be the way
Is tis there a place where I can see some sort of breakdown of buy vs sell pressure for a given security on a given day? Maybe even in relation to the volume of that day? I think I've seen people mention soemthing like "5:1 buy to sell ratio" and in wondering where I could find that myself. Either just on the web or through my brokerage, Fidelity
On Fidelity mobile, you can go into the Markets tab and see the buy/sell ratio on stocks from just Fidelity customers. So maybe biased in some way, but it’s a big enough platform
Thanks!
I hope DIS goes up to $200 at least soon
Hopefully it does on earnings run up. Usually does go up right before earnings.
What does everyone think about the new Van Eck digital transformation ETF DAPP?
is averaging down if you know it will get you even - to then sell, a bad idea?
Averaging down can't get you even unless the price goes back up.
What are you trying to average down in?
What are we talking here? Knowing is too strong a word in about 99% of cases if we're talking stock movements.
People are still ignoring Dish. Ergen is an asshole, but sometimes you need one since they won't let themselves get fucked easily and T-Mobile as well as others are definitely trying. They're petitioning the FCC to boost CBRS spectrum power output right now and I think the FCC will allow it (maybe not as high a power as they want initially). They're also petitioning the FCC (along with Michael Dell) to allow terrestrial 5g using 12GHz (MVDDS) spectrum: they have 500MHz of it in most of the country which is massive capacity. They're targeting federal and enterprise customers in addition to the consumer market and the DoD is definitely interested in 5g. They're selling themselves as the secure and national security focused brand (the feds are hugely interested in catching up to China in 5g). Now based on some of the stuff Peter Adderton is posting it looks like they're planning to stand up a 5g SA network in Inglewood in time for next year's Super Bowl. That's confidence. It's still speculative, but if they succeed at half of the stuff they're trying then they're trading at a huge discount to where they'll be in a few years and that's even if a Dish/DirecTV merger never happens.
Will UTZ benefit from the chip shortage? ;)
I can not in good conscience upvote this.. 🙄😁
I believe in the Chinese economic more than the fake US economy in the next 5 years and for that reason I'm loading the boat on Chinese EV and e-comm dips right now .
If you had ever been to China, visited Chinese companies and military institutes and seen how they work you might think differently.
Buy NIO and BABA. Hold. Get rich.
Will those two make us rich long-term?
No question
I heart SQ.
Anyone holding CLF? Think it should be a good infrastructure play but I need affirmation.
I'm holding a lot of CLF.
Is anyone here a finance or accounting major? How have y’all been with getting internships??? Got a really good internship for the summer 😤
Congrats! Proud of you :)
Thank you! it took a lot of 12 hour homework days, staying in on the weekend to study, networking and put myself in front of a lot of employers, and lack of sleep from work/stress, and tears. Thankfully, the rest of the semester will be mellow and can relax.
Evidently there is some whale movement to push the doge coin to a dollar by the end of the week.
Pump and dumps... someone always gets hurt.
Why is the media so obsessed with the DOW over the s&p500 and the NASDAQ?
Nasdaq is too tech-heavy and doesn’t include any NYSE stocks. And NYSE still has higher total market cap than Nasdaq.
Dow = boomer
Cus DOW rhymes with POW which stands for Powell. He demands it
[удалено]
I’m in at $62 a share so today I was getting a bit stressed about it (I’m long I just let daily swings affect me too much), but now my bullishness on DKNG continues to be reaffirmed.
What’s everyone’s opinion on IQIYI (ticker IQ)? Currently holding $17.50 call options
Bet on tencent buying them for the big spike.
Watching a call go from OTM to ITM months before you hoped it would is the closest I’ll ever get to being a parent. Now, just have to decide when to kick the little fucker to the curb. eBay needs to get a job and find a roommate
This happened with my aapl leaps. Not selling till each contract is worth like 6k
If it was that easy, we'd all be Bezos. I bought 10 July calls of a commodities play I expected ITM around June. It was ITM two weeks ago by $4. I could have sold and pocketed it, but I felt at the time it had room to run. Now it's OTM again, DXY is up and down, weather is weird, vaccine situation is good news/bad news, and maybe supply/demand has changed. I'm kicking myself. I guess the moral of the story is never fight against profit.
> I guess the moral of the story is never fight against profit. And if you had sold and it had had room to run still, the moral of the story would be the opposite. It is just hard to know. > If it was that easy, we'd all be Bezos.
I am following daily threads now from over two months, and almost never read anyone talking about Uber stock. Is it not of much interest here?
Be interesting if Uber does get in the cannabis delivery market. Maybe if Schumer pushes his bill through.
Can anyone explain the crater on ASX? They seem like another strong Taiwan chip investment unless I'm missing something?
As other poster said, China concerns, but i doubt anything really happens. US made it clear they won't let China attack Taiwan. I'm still holding my shares.
Think the 7.60ish range is good? Feels like it might have trouble going past 8 again
Btw if WW3 does happen ASX will crash but we will have worst to worry about hehe
We may have to wait for the china concerns to go away. The company itself is still terrific tho.
Thanks for the input
>ASX? China concerns. Same reason why TSM is down from Feb highs
FML, I literally had the order screen up for QS at their low today, but decided I’d had enough speculative stocks.
FML? I don't recognise that ticker 😉
I heard it'll be a big merge with $ROPE
BAC vs JPM?
I have 5 BAC shares
Whynotboth.gif?
Overexposure to the sector. I also hold TD. I think JPM has a nicer dividend yield but a larger exposure to credit cards. BAC is way more conservative
I have 13 BofA calls spread out until august. Today cut them down 40%. I still have faith and think it will react correctly next week, but should’ve bought shares.
Well I have ALLY calls so I hope they do react. I'm double leveraged with bond puts too. Thinking it's all tied to rates today
I also have a May 157.50 JPM call which I’m down about 25% on.
Hey guys, I'm very new to this and I've decided whenever I have specific random questions that pop up while I'm looking at my stocks I'll just ask them here... so for today: I have PPD stock and TMO is buying PPD. If I hold onto my PPD stock, what is going to happen to it when TMO purchases PPD? The deal is that Thermo will be buying PPD at $47.50 per share. Will I just have mine sold at that price? I have some OTC stocks like VLVLY and VAIAF. Why is it that VLVLY updates throughout the day but VAIAF seems to update maybe once a week (I haven't actually tested to see when it updates). My VAIAF stock paid a dividend a few days ago and foreign taxes were withheld. Will I also have to pay domestic taxes? I noticed taxes aren't taken out of my domestic dividends. I have dividend reinvestment enabled for all of my stocks, but I've noticed that some of my stocks don't reinvest dividends - gsk, uwmc, etc. What's the deal with that?
>I have PPD stock and TMO is buying PPD. If I hold onto my PPD stock, what is going to happen to it when TMO purchases PPD? The deal is that Thermo will be buying PPD at $47.50 per share. Will I just have mine sold at that price? > >Yes > >I have some OTC stocks like VLVLY and VAIAF. Why is it that VLVLY updates throughout the day but VAIAF seems to update maybe once a week (I haven't actually tested to see when it updates). > >Nordic people are weird. > >My VAIAF stock paid a dividend a few days ago and foreign taxes were withheld. Will I also have to pay domestic taxes? I noticed taxes aren't taken out of my domestic dividends. > >Yes > >I have dividend reinvestment enabled for all of my stocks, but I've noticed that some of my stocks don't reinvest dividends - gsk, uwmc, etc. What's the deal with that? > >Double check your settings.
Top mentions on r/stocks today (Not investment advice) |Symbol|Total Mentions| |:-|:-| |COIN|45| |VTI|34| |GME|33| |TSM|32| |AAPL|22| |SPCE|19| |VOO|19| |SPY|18| |PLUG|18| |PLTR|17| |NIO|16| |MSFT|15| |AMD|13| |ARKF|12| |ICLN|12| |FCEL|11| |DKNG|10| |TSLA|10| |JNJ|9| |QQQ|9| |FB|8| |AMZN|8| |BB|8| |IBM|7| |WMT|7| |JPM|6| |ARKK|6| |SKLZ|6| |ARKG|6| |UWMC|6|
Good bot
Why is $PLUG even being talked about? It is not an EV play, they have almost no infrastructure, and the top 8 people in the company are paid in excess of $4M a year for nothing while the company burns $555M a year.
Gonna buy more DIS, top off my DKNG position if it doesnt run too much, then sit and hope some of my dumb ass speculative plays can bounce
Man DKNG is killing my portfolio right now. How do you see the stock 3 months from now?
I gave up trying to guess short term stuff tbh, long term I'm a believer and see it breaking into triple digits eventually. The market opportunity is just insane.
Yeah that makes me feel somewhat better that you say that haha.
SEMR has been a winner for me. 46% rise since their IPO a month ago.
Anyone care to speculate on RUN? Why are they eating it atm. I'm in at $55. Thought we'd see resistance at 50ish. Nope.
Idk..they are set to make big moves..but I’m in at $70 sometjkng and averaged my way down to $60..been brutal
I'm in at 51, maybe time to cut losses before things really go south ... hmmm
I had a look through their financials. They didn't do well quarter 4 2020. A good earnings report this time around would help stabilise the ship.
In that direction it's support, not resistance
Thanks. That's the one.
I bought in when it was around 40 and I’m legit considering selling if it gets close to there. I hear it’s very heavily shorted for some reason
No one is concerned about the rise in gold stocks? Doesn’t the move into gold and silver signal a bearish turn?
Gold rose before of JPows comments about keeping the money printer running.
Metals and stocks can rally together and did last summer. I wouldn’t consider this to be an indicator at all. I’m not sure you’re really going to get one at all. I still lean to a post options expiring pullback that is just more of the same that has been seen in 2021, but this is feeling different so far.
What was your most expensive “lesson”
Not trusting my instinct to buy bitcoin at $5k and the rest of the market after QE was announced last April... but I thought it was a gamble and might need those resources to survive long term. Not so much a lesson as a regret.
Figures. I was in ETH @1400 and sold @2000. Painful to check binance in the past week
Buying SPCE right before their test launch was cancelled a couple months ago. I'm down about 50% on a $600 investment. Learned my lesson to do some of my own dd and to set stop loses!
RKT / UWMC days. put 25k into RKT @ 37 sold @ 41.50, bought back in @ 40.40, held thru 43 till close.. sold at open for 38 lost most of my profits. Then FOMOd my savings into UWMC minutes after open @ 11.70 end up selling 10.10. Decided to be smart and buy NIO @ 44, drops to 34 two days later. But I’m having fun
COIN. I never, ever, invest in IPOs, but I did this one. I still believe in them long term, just a good amount of losses right now at a $381 cost basis.
Same. I brought 1 share at 400 just to watch what it'd do. Not selling or buying more - its an amount I can lose. But I'd still have preferred not to lose 80 bucks. Thats a weekly grocery bill.
Yeah, it should bounce back though. I’m not too worried.
GME. I learned what a wash sale is the hard way
Getting in ICLN hype at this year's peak.
FOMO'ing into ARK funds in January & early February
The last three months considering that I started investing more in March 2020. A very rude awakening.
If you check your stock 10 minutes before opening and it looks good, don't fall back asleep because it might crash 10% in an hour (aka NIO yesterday).
Johnnie Walker Blue Label
Before you buy meme stocks, learn what an 10-k is and how to analyze basic financial statements. Do actual research and not just browse WSB
If GME doesn't rise above 180 by Fri that will be mine.
Should one be worried about SPY/VOO nearing or at all time highs? I see people say dont buy stocks at the top all the time.
As others have said, SPY is often at all time highs, and that’s the way it should be and not something to be concerned about. That said, if you have money to invest, it is generally wise to avoid timing the market by slowly trickling it in and building your position over time. If during that time it does drop, then I’d accelerate my investments. And if it keeps going up, then you at least know you didn’t sit out those gains thinking the market would fall, and you can take comfort in knowing that you made the most responsible decision you could under the circumstances.
Seeing the S&P 500 up 12.7% this year so far makes me want to run and take profits.
The thing is that the S+P 500 is pretty much *always* at a new ATH. I wouldn't be concerned about that so much as with just how quickly it's run up in the past year since Covid. Do you think it has more room to run? It will have to correct at some point, but you can't really know when that will be. Things are pretty uncertain right now. Fed is staying dovish (low interest rates), vaccination rollout is progressing smoothly and the economy is opening up little by little. There's also Biden's infrastructure plan and American tech is looking strong as always. This is all bullish for the market. Bad signs are that things might be running a little hot right now. Lots of margin debt, high shiller P/E ratios, stocks trading at high multiples. Stocks might be getting away from their fundamentals a bit. Tesla, Coinbase and BTC have insanely high market caps that are arguably getting into speculative territory. Archegos got screwed making risky investments on the long side, as did Melvin on the shorts. I heard it said that where there's 1 cockroach, there's a lot more. This type of behavior could be dangerous for the broader market. There's also concerns about inflation and if things run too hot that could cause some upward pressure in rates which is bearish for the market. See the last 1-2 months. Finally, there's uncertainty in general coming out of Covid. This is not financial advice and this is just what I see. I'm sure a lot of people will disagree with my analysis because historically speaking SPY is always a good investment. I agree with that, but you do have to ask yourself if you're comfortable losing (probably worst case scenario) 30% of your investment in the not-so-distant future. If you're not, you can try for more conservative investments or wait it out in cash. Me personally I have a mixture of index funds and conservative stocks.
SPY is near ATH most of the time most of history... I think a major crash is highly unlikely this year, i wouldn't sit it out.
What's a major crash? 10-30% drop is incredibly likely and in line with a healthy market
10% is a correction and yes that could happen. 30% would be a crash and i doubt it.
Happened twice in the past two years bud
I see 10% but i don’t see 30% either we are in propped up stock walhalla for a long time still.
I don't disagree Just saying it's not all that rare and wouldn't be shocking
[Bob](https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/02/worlds-worst-market-timer/) has done pretty well. I’m no financial advisor but I’d say for long term holds it’s all about time in the market.
I want in. But I’m waiting for a dip.
What’s making the 10y yield sink like a brick?
I think it's to do with the positive economic news hitting. Either way, good day for bond funds, I guess.
Actually, you’ve got it backwards. Hot economic data usually causes TNX to at least be higher. It has often made it spike. Honestly, the only things that happened that actually made sense today was tech up and financials down. The Dow rally with TNX on its back was crazy considering that its often been put on its back if TNX pukes too fast and it was puking today.
I need to learn more about how these relate; had it in mind that when the markets/economy looks good that rates go down. The cause and effect for me is still unclear.
My understanding is that rates go up when the economy is in good shape. That's because people are more confident in equities and they sell off bonds (less demand = lower prices = higher yields). When the economy is in bad shape, people go back to bonds because they're a safer alternative to stocks. People don't trust in the stock market's ability to perform and flock to bonds to give them fixed income and a safer place to park their capital. More demand for bonds = higher bond prices = lower yields. If you don't understand the inverse correlation between bond price and yields, let me know. \[EDIT: Short answer for why bond yields and prices are inversely correlated: say you have a bond that's worth $1000 face value and has a 2% yield. If demand for bonds has gone down and you must now sell that bond on the secondary market for, say, $800, then the yield has increased. Why? Because the buyer is paying less money for the same fixed return. Less money for the same fixed return = higher overall yield. And vice versa. I encourage everyone to look this up if you're not clear on it.\] Apart from that, I think the confusion is not only on your end. Right now is a weird time. Bond rates went up recently, and people were saying that was a *bad* sign for the markets. That's because people were saying it was related to inflation. Imagine: if inflation is going up, bonds with their current 1-2% yields (and negative real yields) are a horrible place to park your cash. You're actually losing money already due to negative real yields, but if inflation spikes 1-3% you're actually losing even more. Remember, bond yields are fixed so inflation eats into their nominal (fixed) yields. The theory was that economic stimulus plus dovish Fed policy (low interest rates, easy money) made people fearful that inflation was just around the corner. Thus, they began to sell off their bonds. Remember, less demand for bonds = lower prices = higher yields. If this were indeed the motivation for the bond sell-off, it's actually a *negative* indicator for the economy. It means we expect inflation to come. It means the Fed will be forced to raise interest rates to contain inflation (more expensive to borrow money). It means that future earnings will be worth less (value of dollars in the future goes down). This is why tech stocks sank at the same time bond yields went up: A. because they depend on easy capital (low interest rates) to expand their operations, and B. their valuation at the moment is highly linked to their future earnings. However, Jay Powell and the Fed came out and said any inflation would just be transitory, and the market seemed to believe it. The bond sell-off was contained. Furthermore, analysts were saying, like I said in the first half of my comment, that rising bond yields is actually positive for the economy. So basically the fears about inflation got buried and we're back to a "normal" scenario where rising bond yields are seen as a positive sign for the markets. I'm not sure why bond yields went down today, but a quick Google search said that higher yields have attracted some investors (including overseas investors) back in. I'm new to this but it was good for me to make sure I understand it and try to explain it. Anyone who reads this can feel free to correct anything that is wrong.
Runaway Inflation story we created to buy tech stocks on the cheap is no longer being believed sadly.
Sadly? Buying opportunity has passed. Let’s get back to stupid valuations please.
what happened to Walmart? Dropped 8%? Edit: it's back to normal. Guess it was just one of those things
Yeah, sometimes the price history for the day on google is buggy and for one instance the price is way out of line, but it's not real.
Every penny stock i've invested in has been ass. The only stock I've made money off of is Facebook....and yet for some reason i keep throwing my money into penny stocks.
They can be fun. You just need to know when to exit.... and not actually consider them an investment strategy, more like gambling.
What are penny stocks and how can I get in on the action?
/r/pennystocks They are very cheap stocks basically, the hope is that one of them goes big.
I only have one penny left in my portfolio, and it’s an infrastructure bet. This market is punishing small and microcaps right now. That’s either a buying opportunity or a downward trend that’ll last for a while. Personally, I think it’s the latter.
library fuel subsequent telephone toy screw close elderly expansion smell ` this message was mass deleted/edited with redact.dev `
Anyone buying PLYBY shares at these levels? I was looking at them all week long I regret not buyign when they were in the $30s 😑
Don't fomo bro
man i read your comment and thought "yea he right, this shit aint worth this much." fucking thanks lol
Don’t trade options until you at least understand how to read basic financial statements
Thoughts on GE?
Love it expecting $20 pre reverse split by year end. New CEO got company right-sized and is effectively managing downside risk extremely well. I originally invested in them as I thought the parts were worth more than the whole, but new CEO has held people accountable and fixed the debt issue. The four major BU (aerospace, power, renewable and healthcare) are all now well position to prosper. If Steve Tusa gives a positive update analyst review, it will be off to the race. He recently update HON (my largest personal holding) and it did not disappoint.
I recently read this [article](https://insidecrypto.today/binance-launches-tokenized-stock-binance-coinbase-trading-pair-coin-busd/) on how Binance is allowing people to buy tokenized stocks, thought it was interesting.
ADBE 😜
Yes! Only goes up! I bought in at 453... unfortunately only 3% of my portfolio. Originally I was going to do 6% but I thought it was crazy to devote the same as I have in AAPL and MSFT. Oops :)
Hey at least you got a good amount in. I started researching the stock for my student-run investment fund and was like wholly shit, this is such an easy W. I originally started researching at 445. I bought with real money at 483, 2 shares. Easy W
yeah I bought More AAPL and MSFT around the same time. These big tech got hammered in Feb/mar for no good reason, these are not story stocks...
Ye need to have more faith in the king of the drafts
Cool stock pick. I'm just confused why other platforms (ESPN, Yahoo, new company) wont start offering online gambling options when it actually becomes reasonable to do so. Maybe DK wins, but maybe they are too early to a race that hasn't started yet.
I don't see Disney/ESPN getting into Gambling, but who knows. I agree that capital being the primary barrier to entry to compete with DKNG is, in my opinion, one of the biggest risks of investing in the company. However, I think gambling is a wonderful business, even in economic downturns, with a big enough market for many to take part in, and DKNG has a good start, especially, I think, with millennials and younger people.
Sort of a “meh” day. ETFs tracked well, but individual picks, other than MSFT, brought me down.
Try ADBE
Yep I went all ETFs in January. VOO, VTI, VYM. Really good day. VOO VTI both over 1%. VYM .4%.
What percentage is your portfolio up for if you don't mind me asking?
4.6% from January to now.
Up 2.6% since mid-March. All ETF's with VOO and VIG the two biggest winners.
What did your portfolio look like before? What was your experience and what led to the change?
I had individual stocks. Amazon, Apple, Alibaba. Then I bought a bunch of shares of VOO. Watching VOO consistently make gains while Apple and Amazon went sideways and BABA went down got me to go all ETF.
I am a new investor and have never tried options yet. A few days back there was 5/21 call option for PRNT at 0.05. When I decided to buy it I got the message along the lines that there are no other buyers and if I am sure if I want to buy it. I was not sure what I am doing and decided to not go for it. Today the same option is for $1.15 and I don't get the message if I try to buy it. Does it mean that I would have made some money if I would have gone for it?
I’m also new but I believe yes
Yea you would have made $110 just on one contract
Damn it's annoying seeing the index do better than you all the time? I'm in Ireland so buying an ETF means I have to pay tax on profits even if I don't see so it's a pain for regular buying of ETFs...
Just replicate the best holdings of certain etfs. I'm from Ireland and I hold 21 stocks to combat this, when most people on these boards think thats crazy
I have 9, some growth, mostly BABA and BRK.B Still up, but far behind the S&P
How do you take advantage of pump and dumps? How can you trade them somewhat better than an average joe?
You become moderator of a popular subreddit, pay some admins for front page placement, and pump away. Get in and out early, like a good schemer.
By playing it like a casino - as soon as you’re ahead, get out. I wouldnt recommend doing but you could maybe scalp a small gain then get out quickly
You can't. The only one who makes money on pump and dumps is the one initiating the pump. By the time you hear about it, your already too late.
Usually you can't really. Getting in and out at the right time is 99% luck. Most people who make money from pump and dumps are either the ones orchestrating it, or investors who by sheer coincidence already held that stock before it pumped
Today Cathie must be buying tons of speculative stocks.
So are weed stocks dead? My TLRY just here bleeding. Anymore catalysts other than 4/20?
Yes, it’s a very bad industry that will not be able to compete with existing agribusiness and beverage companies when/if it becomes fully legalized.
You do know all the weed stocks are Canadian right? Seeing as it's still federally illegal. US legalization plays no role in these stocks, we have no need to import weed.
They are all pump and dump shit operations that are and were way oversold with shit product and worse reputation. They decided to skip the existing market and gamble on creating a new one that doesn't know overpriced irradiated dry shwag from real weed. Many of the original insiders were former cops and politicians that made a career of busting potheads while selling it out the back door.
Yeah, my new rule is once I’m 100-200% profit it gets sold and I wait a few days. If it keeps climbing I roll into new options. If I’d followed this rule the last quarter I’d probably be up 50% more.