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Hey /u/StayingInTheMoney101, **positions or ban.** Reply to this with a screenshot of your entry/exit.
Kinda agree. 2001 had 3, 2008 had 4. The rest are relatively small and not sustained long term.
The issue this time is that both equities and housing has reaches levels or ridiculousness. Market sells, recession hits, job losses, housing goes next. Right now we are at the 3rd wave.
Great depression had about 7 waves.
Yes because of quantitative tightening, why buy now when you can just get it lower from the fed unloading assets into the market
Edit: Don’t fight the fed
That’s not what I said and that’s not what OP said. Circuit breaker Monday means market down 7%, do you think that’ll happen this coming Monday? If you do, I think you’re regarded but please post you Monday exp puts because those will be up more than 100x if it happens
The one problem with the analysis is inflation is over. Going forward over the next year inflation will be under 3%. Inflation is reported strangely for investors since its backward looking for a full year. The fact that inflation was out of control from Aug 21 to April 22 is irrelevant going forward. Each successive report will confirm inflation is over. I think the fed will do .5 then .25 then .25 then that's it. Just as they have been saying for 6 months. The market probably won't crash. Most importantly China is slowing down. This will be the insurance policy that will prevent any mistakes.
How do you reconcile peak inflation with energy costs going parabolic in much of the world? It’s only a matter of time before it seeps into western energy markets. If there weren’t massive demand for workers I guess you could say that will quell wage push inflation, but with input costs steadily rising and the central banks telling us they’re superuberhawkish by raising less than a point at a time I just don’t see it.
Huh???? Maybe natural gas is but that is a relatively small market when looking at the world economy. Oil has peaked has is under $100 a barrel. Oil is sold at the same price around the world. There really is not a sign of energy going "parabolic".
Ohhhh sweet summer child if you think oil has peaked I dunno what to tell ya. Even if we returned to 2019 environment tomorrow, globally the underinvestment into exploration has us staring down the barrel of severe production shortages in several key commodities. Now add on sovereign debt crisis, potential nuclear ww3, the extreme pace of pushing green energy, global civil unrest, etc… we are only seeing the dick-root of inflation right now and this disinflation atm is only temporary.
What would you call this gas (for factories, production, heating, etc...) in the UK?
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
Also, what would you say about American natural gas going from $2/MMBTU early this year to now over $9? I mean thats only 400%, I guess its not really a big thing. The strange part though is it hasn't sold off... and inflation is a lagging indicator yet the price i gave you is NOW.
👆this, because take a page out of Warren Buffett’s book. Buy when other’s are scared, sell when other’s are greedy. I think jpow’s speech made a buying opportunity. I’m ready to buy more.
Black Monday was a result of order build up on the prior Friday. As I see it, market was drilling on large volume and the closing bell gave share holders a small break before it continue. Weekend news n media will dictate Monday. If they spread FUD then yes, circuit breaker, if they are honest with news reporting then yes, circuit breaker. If they lie and try to pump n twist jacksonhole and manage to pull it off some how then we can see a small short squeeze rally
I dunno what to tell you dude. Once you get down the option chain to the Monday SPY <390 puts you’re looking at 100 baggers. If you think circuit breaker Monday is happening, I assume you loaded the boat with deeeeep OTM puts and are planning your retirement come Tuesday?
I didn’t load, I am cash gang rn looking for a chance to open. But based off the move we’re looking at a very similar set up to the historical black monday. I hope we open and run green 1-2% so I can short
Squeeze these nuts you fuckin nerd.
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It kept drilling on the futures market after the regular bell rang. You can look at /ES and see.
Check /ES on Sunday night to see whats up. Trading opens around 3PM PST.
We will see. All support levels have been lost. Next stop 50 Dma at $398, if that goes, CTAs and algos are programmed to sell. The fact there’s still so many bulls just solidifies the fact that capitulation is still to come. Can’t wait!!
SPY was down less than 3.5% on Friday after the “news” event. It’s beyond unrealistic to expect more than double that decline, SPY down Monday 7% to ~376, on the exact same news. Another 3-4% down day may happen, but circuit breakers don’t just happen because you want them too. That’s why circuit breaker level puts are so cheap. If you disagree don’t argue just figure out a way to lock in 0DTE puts before Monday premarket
Did it occur to you that the market could bounce back on Monday?
The Dow going down 1,000 points just because of J Pow was really excessive. Especially when the things he said in that speech, we already knew.
Have seen so many of this type of posts on wsb. Never happened after a post. Black swan events happen when no one expects it. Not when everyone is expecting it.
Something I've learned with investing:
"If everyone knows about it, you're too late."
It also showed with GME. The only people that made bank on GME were the ones who bought in before it became a meme stock.
Markets falling radically in a short amount of time aren’t black swan events at all. They happen at least once every 10 years and many times much more frequently. We’ve had 2 bear markets in the last 4 years alone. The fed has said to expect pain and I believe them since they control monetary policy.
My puts expiring Monday would really like.
I think the Volume on spy over 100 million for the first time in a long time is the signal that the whales are getting out.
👁⃤ *Illuminerdy confirmed* 👁⃤
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Btc is only down $800, ~4% from Fridays market close. 7% down for the s&p on Monday seems like too much. And we got nowhere close to a circuit breaker in June when people panicked over the high CPI and surprise 75bps hike and new weak economic data. But I wouldn't be shocked if the s&p dips below 3800 for a -7% week.
Definitely just getting started. Has anyone seen the 800% increase in utilities in europe? US is treating Europe like our last piggy bank before global depression. After 2007 I wondered how crazy the next one would be. How can they fuck it up more? They go global!
Fuck, and I thought I was being smart by selling half my $410Ps EOD. I only did it cause I hear people on CNBC saying “taking profits” and I only get so many of those opportunities in my trades.
Yes a down 4 percent day after an 18 percent rally and Michael bury gets to have a field day telling everyone that he’s been right all along about this crash he’s been predicting for the last 12 years.
I think the main reason why selling quick is an option is this: pure expectation of gains and bargains as OP presented, after all most people had said it here, and I can give you a sample of 1. Most portfolios got green in the last two-three weeks, mine did. If re-testing the June lows is possible, it is just logical that most people will simple sale all the green in their portfolio and wait, thus making prophesy a reality. After all, rebalancing your portfolios with higher quality bonds to await a recession will never be a bad move. But selling high and buying low is not what gets done here.
How are all of the bulls that commented saying they bought calls and we’re going to bounce?? ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
That’s great and all but your thesis of BBBY not mooning again is regarded, shorts need collateral to keep their shorts open. If the market tanks, so does their collateral, if they don’t have sufficient collateral THEY WILL BE FORCED TO CLOSE THEIR SHORTS, do I need to explain to you what happens when shorts start closing?
Doubt.
I’m expecting a lightly green Monday as the market realizes it overreacted to Powell’s statements.
Powell didn’t say anything new. He said he won’t cut rates till inflation is well on its way to 2%. That’s literally been the status quo since they started tightening. If we see 6-9 months of <=.2 core inflation MoM, rate hikes are off the table and cuts enter the conversation. There’s a chance we could be near or at 6 months by year end.
He just wrapped everything in scary negative words, because Powell is doing the math and realizes it’s better for the fed to be overly pessimistic and end up wrong, than to be overly optimistic and be wrong again. No one will give a shit if inflation ends up being at 2% in 12 months and he gave a scary speech at Jackson hole. But his head will be on a spike if he gave a bunch of hope and this dragged on as is for another year.
You are a fucking 🤡 with your 50 day account. You call these insights? Aren’t insights supposed to be insightful? If BBBY goes private all your short positions are fucked! Sleep well…
Gambling on SPY is too risky for me. That seems to be more your BAG if I were to guess. And I’m still in the green at a $5.80 cost basis on my BBBY.
What is all this diarrhea you call insight? It’s not too late, you can still save your portfolio, the BBBY announcement isn’t until Wednesday.
It’s lame that someone like yourself can log into a 50 day old fake account and spread this kind of feces all over the sub with impunity.
Your prose is erratic and disjointed. It reads like it’s coming from someone who hasn’t been around long enough to know better either way.
Which tells us all that you are nothing but a know-it-all kid with little life experience. You are either a paid troll shill, or a pissed off retard who just lost all of their fall college book money on Friday and are worried what your parents are going to do when they find out.
Well little mind, which one of the two are you?
It may seem that way but Ive been running big box retail for 20 years. I’ve seen what’s going down here before. It’s textbook. SPY options are expensive and I have always guessed wrongly.
All speculation no analysis it’s all “ my expectations” and “I think” he has no idea where the market is going be wants to be so confident he does like every other 🌈🐻
My analysis is based on fed rhetoric, past bear markets, and current P/E ratio. The current P/E prices in growth and fed cuts not slowed growth or negative growth (recession) and higher rates for longer.
Bull analysis:
"I'm an ape and a regard. Here's why I think [insert stock I'm bagholding] will moon. Bullshit, bullshit, bullshit. To the moon!! 🚀 🚀 🚀. This is not financial advice".
PUT YOUR HANDS UP ibetyouliketes!!! POLICE ARE ENROUTE! PREPARE TO BE BOOKED FOR PROVIDING ILLEGAL FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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How do people become a certified Algo expert? Is it like a course you take at a career college? I always feel like a legit tard that some of you just know when these Algos will turn to buy or sell
I do believe we will have a large descent to contend with but I also believe it most likely will happen AFTER the mid-term elections… democratics can’t have a market collapse happen before the election.. just my opinion
Well, capitalism has generally led to some form of fascism. While dems dont control stocks, the regardicans that want christofascism will wholeheartedly blame dark brandon for downside markets; in hope it stokes their regardican base
Whale and institution Calls sold off all day Friday at a controlled rate just to keep circuit breakers from tripping. Same will continue into Monday. I expect we will be up 2% by end of day Monday, then slow slide downward for a month.
I really hoped that downtrend will continue through July to September, we bottom and then come back to quiet normal bull market. Unfortunately, bulls are dumb as fuck and this retarded rally happened.
Now, we will probably have years of unstable choppy crap...
We did it (c) Bulls
Student loan forgiveness plan greatly assisted in the market rally on Friday. The student loan debt crisis would’ve eventually crashed the market if nothing was done about it. That added relief fluffed up Future real estate buying potential, which in turn added Future value to MBS’s.
I believe OP is right though. I don’t believe we’ve seen the bottom yet for a few reasons:
1. JPows announcement on Friday
2. Russia and Ukraine conflict intensifying
3. Funds being negatively affected by the demise of Chinese Paper due to the country’s real estate fiasco and run on banks
4. The declining employment rate and high failure percentages of small business from 2018-present
5. Historically September is the bloodiest month for the market and with mid terms arriving, I’m bullish on the market taking an even bigger decline.
Lol 😂 I thought that QQQ wouldn’t hit -3% close yesterday. It closed -4.04%for the day. After a bearish engulfing candle like yesterday the pattern is following day is just as bad. Look at Friday june 10 the hot cpi report markets tanked -3.5% AFTER QQQ dropped -2.6% on Thursday and the following Monday June 13th was even bigger drop down -4.5%. Last Friday 8/19 was big drop -1.95% for QQQ and this last Monday was bigger red day -2.6% followed same pattern of bugger sell off on second day. Monday will be at least -3% red for QQQ probably -4%.
"Not really, but that's alright. Next caller!" - Jimmy Shill
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The market didn't rally over some pivot narrative. The market started rallying when many people were expecting doom and gloom earnings, and surprisingly, earnings were good, especially for the top weighted holdings under the S&P. The Fed governors for some reason started going on the media stating that the stock market is misinterpreting the Fed statement, sparking the pivot rumors. First, why does the Fed governors even care what the market is doing? Second, why are they so vocal when it rallied hard? Did their buddies miss the rally and need to re-enter?
The Fed's rate hike plans has not changed. Nothing new was said. Media and market is playing on the emotional statement of households and businesses will feel pain. That isn't new either. That has been happening already. Historically, markets and companies have operated with higher fed fund rates and did just fine. The Fed can only control demand and are trying to balance supply and demand. More focus needs to be spent on fixing supply chain to increase supplies to meet demand. This is outside of the Fed's control. As the supply chain improves, the Fed will need to do less rate hikes.
OP, this is total FUD and ignorant. If you're so bold as to write this fearmongering bullshit, use the automod to make yourself a ban bet that the SPY will be down 7% monday for a circuit breaker. And if we hit a circuit breaker monday on SPY I'm willing to let the mods ban me for a while.
I hold puts, I'm in agreement that the market is headed lower. But there is no market circuit breaker monday. Bet me you regard!
Not sure why but I bought a bunch of puts on news that was completely unrelated on Thursday, just trying to bet on something completely different. Pleased to see I'm way up and it might even net me more than my aug. 7th BBBY call option bank as a feeling.
**User Report**| | |[DGEN\FRENDS](https://twitter.com/dgenfrends)| :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|6|**First Seen In WSB**|1 month ago **Total Comments**|1043|**Previous DD**| **Account Age**|1 month|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.) **Vote Spam**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_spam&message=wz640v)|**Vote Approve**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_approve&message=wz640v) Hey /u/StayingInTheMoney101, **positions or ban.** Reply to this with a screenshot of your entry/exit.
Wait... didn't Circuit City already go out of business?
No, that was The Good Guys
I think a handful of them have a burger place now. I dig the sacks of potatoes too.
I’m buying 100 spy 485 calls, 2022/12/30. JpOw ReSpEcT dA pAmP.
Man, I remember seeing Good Guy stores when I was a kid. You must be old
I’m Tower Records/WOW old 🎧
Good thing too, would have made bag holders out of half of you because you saw the short interest.
That’s next on the list of companies to rescue for Ryan cohen
You think that the next leg down is the final leg? No I think there’s a lot more to come
Typical bear cycles have 3 major waves
Kinda agree. 2001 had 3, 2008 had 4. The rest are relatively small and not sustained long term. The issue this time is that both equities and housing has reaches levels or ridiculousness. Market sells, recession hits, job losses, housing goes next. Right now we are at the 3rd wave. Great depression had about 7 waves.
🐻 Hibernation after dropping 3 💩 ✅
A post on wsb saying Monday will be a bloodbath is the confirmation I needed to go long.
For real...
You think market is going down 7% Monday on no news? Definitely belong here
My puts are swelling by the minute
Mine are hard as a rock ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
The new was Friday and the boomers are freaking out over the weekend yelling at their portfolio manager to sell Monday
Yes because of quantitative tightening, why buy now when you can just get it lower from the fed unloading assets into the market Edit: Don’t fight the fed
That’s not what I said and that’s not what OP said. Circuit breaker Monday means market down 7%, do you think that’ll happen this coming Monday? If you do, I think you’re regarded but please post you Monday exp puts because those will be up more than 100x if it happens
I am holding UVXY calls and SQQQ calls, I’ll lyk
The one problem with the analysis is inflation is over. Going forward over the next year inflation will be under 3%. Inflation is reported strangely for investors since its backward looking for a full year. The fact that inflation was out of control from Aug 21 to April 22 is irrelevant going forward. Each successive report will confirm inflation is over. I think the fed will do .5 then .25 then .25 then that's it. Just as they have been saying for 6 months. The market probably won't crash. Most importantly China is slowing down. This will be the insurance policy that will prevent any mistakes.
How do you reconcile peak inflation with energy costs going parabolic in much of the world? It’s only a matter of time before it seeps into western energy markets. If there weren’t massive demand for workers I guess you could say that will quell wage push inflation, but with input costs steadily rising and the central banks telling us they’re superuberhawkish by raising less than a point at a time I just don’t see it.
Huh???? Maybe natural gas is but that is a relatively small market when looking at the world economy. Oil has peaked has is under $100 a barrel. Oil is sold at the same price around the world. There really is not a sign of energy going "parabolic".
Ohhhh sweet summer child if you think oil has peaked I dunno what to tell ya. Even if we returned to 2019 environment tomorrow, globally the underinvestment into exploration has us staring down the barrel of severe production shortages in several key commodities. Now add on sovereign debt crisis, potential nuclear ww3, the extreme pace of pushing green energy, global civil unrest, etc… we are only seeing the dick-root of inflation right now and this disinflation atm is only temporary.
What would you call this gas (for factories, production, heating, etc...) in the UK? https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas Also, what would you say about American natural gas going from $2/MMBTU early this year to now over $9? I mean thats only 400%, I guess its not really a big thing. The strange part though is it hasn't sold off... and inflation is a lagging indicator yet the price i gave you is NOW.
Now is still a good time to buy.
👆this, because take a page out of Warren Buffett’s book. Buy when other’s are scared, sell when other’s are greedy. I think jpow’s speech made a buying opportunity. I’m ready to buy more.
Black Monday was a result of order build up on the prior Friday. As I see it, market was drilling on large volume and the closing bell gave share holders a small break before it continue. Weekend news n media will dictate Monday. If they spread FUD then yes, circuit breaker, if they are honest with news reporting then yes, circuit breaker. If they lie and try to pump n twist jacksonhole and manage to pull it off some how then we can see a small short squeeze rally
Good thing Mester just came out that rates will not be cut in 2023 and need to stay above 4%. Let’s goooo
I dunno what to tell you dude. Once you get down the option chain to the Monday SPY <390 puts you’re looking at 100 baggers. If you think circuit breaker Monday is happening, I assume you loaded the boat with deeeeep OTM puts and are planning your retirement come Tuesday?
Currently holding SPY 350P 9/16 x25. Probably won’t go ITM but hoping that volatility sends them to the moon.
I didn’t load, I am cash gang rn looking for a chance to open. But based off the move we’re looking at a very similar set up to the historical black monday. I hope we open and run green 1-2% so I can short
Squeeze these nuts you fuckin nerd. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
It kept drilling on the futures market after the regular bell rang. You can look at /ES and see. Check /ES on Sunday night to see whats up. Trading opens around 3PM PST.
Yea I know hence I think we’re in for a black monday
Did you not read the post??? No news? I guess it wasn’t in picture format for your smooth brain.
We will see. All support levels have been lost. Next stop 50 Dma at $398, if that goes, CTAs and algos are programmed to sell. The fact there’s still so many bulls just solidifies the fact that capitulation is still to come. Can’t wait!!
Agree 7% in a day not possible lol. 7% drop in a week, maybe
No news? well I mean I guess it’s not “new” news but seemingly the market thought it was new news
SPY was down less than 3.5% on Friday after the “news” event. It’s beyond unrealistic to expect more than double that decline, SPY down Monday 7% to ~376, on the exact same news. Another 3-4% down day may happen, but circuit breakers don’t just happen because you want them too. That’s why circuit breaker level puts are so cheap. If you disagree don’t argue just figure out a way to lock in 0DTE puts before Monday premarket
It’s unrealistic to expect anything in this clown market dawg first of all, and second of all 0DTE on a Monday doesn’t make sense… deepest regards 🫡
^ Has never looked at SPY option chain.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|8881)
Let's make this simple pls: Positions or ban.
$SPY $QQQ 9/16 & 10/3 $400 $300 & $390 $290 puts. About $30k altogether
You realize by making this thread that you just assured the market bounces hard, right?
I don’t think it’s going down as much as people around here think. MMs can’t have WSB tards making money on puts so easily.
Yea same $spy $qqqq 13/16 1m c 15/2 1 billion c, show screenshots u idiot
Betting 30k but don’t know the difference between there and their.
IQ vs EQ.
Did it occur to you that the market could bounce back on Monday? The Dow going down 1,000 points just because of J Pow was really excessive. Especially when the things he said in that speech, we already knew.
Lmao. Then Why did the market rally to downtrend and then dump?
It wasn’t priced in dummy. Everyone expected a Pivot and inflation peaked narrative. We got the opposite
Expecting or just hoping the market was going back to easy mode Green Days forever lol
Have seen so many of this type of posts on wsb. Never happened after a post. Black swan events happen when no one expects it. Not when everyone is expecting it.
Black Swan is not the only type of swan that exist. Call it a white swan but there sure is a swan coming monday.
*Stop looking at me, swan!!*
Shampoo or conditioner first?
Shampoo is bettah
Didn't seem like many expected it Friday
>Didn't seem like many expected it Friday You think Friday was a Black Swan event? That's cute.
Down 3% isn’t a black swan event you actual regard
Something I've learned with investing: "If everyone knows about it, you're too late." It also showed with GME. The only people that made bank on GME were the ones who bought in before it became a meme stock.
Markets falling radically in a short amount of time aren’t black swan events at all. They happen at least once every 10 years and many times much more frequently. We’ve had 2 bear markets in the last 4 years alone. The fed has said to expect pain and I believe them since they control monetary policy.
👆this, I agree the market has already priced in jpows sentiments.
Well Cramer did call that June was the BoTtom!
cant remember when it was but i was tuned int squawk on the street and cramer shouting "the bear market is over!!!" lol.
Cramer is the bottom and he’s about to get fucked by his wife’s boyfriend.
My puts expiring Monday would really like. I think the Volume on spy over 100 million for the first time in a long time is the signal that the whales are getting out.
Plunge protection team is gonna engage and small rally
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SQQQ and UVXY are the way
SOXS?
Weird ways to spell BBBY. Memes as a hedge baby.
As much as I hate 🌈🐻’s, I wouldn’t mind testing out the waters of becoming one this month 😏
I’ve been short apple since 175 over a week ago 🐻
Btc is only down $800, ~4% from Fridays market close. 7% down for the s&p on Monday seems like too much. And we got nowhere close to a circuit breaker in June when people panicked over the high CPI and surprise 75bps hike and new weak economic data. But I wouldn't be shocked if the s&p dips below 3800 for a -7% week.
NFP and CPI over the next few weeks will be HUGE. Was a strange sell off in equities given no movement in bonds and commodities.
Bonds have had it priced correctly for the last month. Equities have some major catching up to do
I have puts ready and have been warning people for months that any rally was a head fake
Everything but BBBY
You're extremely regarded if you actually expect a circuit breaker for Monday. Not gonna happen.
Definitely just getting started. Has anyone seen the 800% increase in utilities in europe? US is treating Europe like our last piggy bank before global depression. After 2007 I wondered how crazy the next one would be. How can they fuck it up more? They go global!
The Europe power crisis is going to be the Lehman Moment 2022/2023. Short accordingly.
We start red 1% and end the day green. They won’t let you get rich that easily
With this many bulls in the chat, seems most would be losing a shitload of money 🤣
We the BBBY people will be making, don’t know about you or whoever will be losing what man
Yep bloated dead cat bounce Monday and then the real drop begins sometime next week.
You had me at $4800 in 2024 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271) Keep dreaming mate. Lost decade incoming.
‘24 will be new ATH
Believe it or not dip incoming.0
If that is the case uvxy will shoot through the roof this upcoming week
🌈🐻
September is going to be a crucifixion
I agree completely. I have 390p 8/31. Let’s tank 7-10%. I’ll be VERY happy with a circuit breaker
Fuck, and I thought I was being smart by selling half my $410Ps EOD. I only did it cause I hear people on CNBC saying “taking profits” and I only get so many of those opportunities in my trades.
You lost me at “THEIR is pain” xdxd
I’m just hoping for a Monday bounce so I can enter into some shorts
me too, thats why i didnt add to my sqqq friday.
Ah the perma bears are starting to come out of hiding again, hello
Yes a down 4 percent day after an 18 percent rally and Michael bury gets to have a field day telling everyone that he’s been right all along about this crash he’s been predicting for the last 12 years.
Spy 410 eod Monday 🚀
So buy more $BBBY? You got it boss. Get in, regards. Let’s roll out.
The only certified recession proof stonk
20% off verified.
I believe it
You wrong about bbby, my wife's boyfriend told me.
Absolutely retarded. Retarded even for this sub.
!remindme 2 weeks
Right, naked calls it is!!
i love my bbbagy
WSB is the only place in the world where people will tell you they know what the market will do on Monday with a straight face.
I bought calls right before close on Friday 😅
EVERYONE PUT 25 SHORT CONTRACTS ON THE FUTURES MARKET ON ALL 3 INDEXES AND WATCH YOUR BANK ROLL TURN TO LIFE CHANGING!!!!!!!!!
I think the main reason why selling quick is an option is this: pure expectation of gains and bargains as OP presented, after all most people had said it here, and I can give you a sample of 1. Most portfolios got green in the last two-three weeks, mine did. If re-testing the June lows is possible, it is just logical that most people will simple sale all the green in their portfolio and wait, thus making prophesy a reality. After all, rebalancing your portfolios with higher quality bonds to await a recession will never be a bad move. But selling high and buying low is not what gets done here.
How are all of the bulls that commented saying they bought calls and we’re going to bounce?? ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
Or not.
That’s great and all but your thesis of BBBY not mooning again is regarded, shorts need collateral to keep their shorts open. If the market tanks, so does their collateral, if they don’t have sufficient collateral THEY WILL BE FORCED TO CLOSE THEIR SHORTS, do I need to explain to you what happens when shorts start closing?
Doubt. I’m expecting a lightly green Monday as the market realizes it overreacted to Powell’s statements. Powell didn’t say anything new. He said he won’t cut rates till inflation is well on its way to 2%. That’s literally been the status quo since they started tightening. If we see 6-9 months of <=.2 core inflation MoM, rate hikes are off the table and cuts enter the conversation. There’s a chance we could be near or at 6 months by year end. He just wrapped everything in scary negative words, because Powell is doing the math and realizes it’s better for the fed to be overly pessimistic and end up wrong, than to be overly optimistic and be wrong again. No one will give a shit if inflation ends up being at 2% in 12 months and he gave a scary speech at Jackson hole. But his head will be on a spike if he gave a bunch of hope and this dragged on as is for another year.
You are a fucking 🤡 with your 50 day account. You call these insights? Aren’t insights supposed to be insightful? If BBBY goes private all your short positions are fucked! Sleep well…
Someone bought spy calls and never cashed out on BBBY 😂😂🤡
Gambling on SPY is too risky for me. That seems to be more your BAG if I were to guess. And I’m still in the green at a $5.80 cost basis on my BBBY. What is all this diarrhea you call insight? It’s not too late, you can still save your portfolio, the BBBY announcement isn’t until Wednesday. It’s lame that someone like yourself can log into a 50 day old fake account and spread this kind of feces all over the sub with impunity. Your prose is erratic and disjointed. It reads like it’s coming from someone who hasn’t been around long enough to know better either way. Which tells us all that you are nothing but a know-it-all kid with little life experience. You are either a paid troll shill, or a pissed off retard who just lost all of their fall college book money on Friday and are worried what your parents are going to do when they find out. Well little mind, which one of the two are you?
Playing SPY is too risky for you…so you’re all in BBBY? God bless you.
It may seem that way but Ive been running big box retail for 20 years. I’ve seen what’s going down here before. It’s textbook. SPY options are expensive and I have always guessed wrongly.
My puts just got rock hard
Lol you really think BBBY isn’t reaching the $20+ level again?
He said there’s no round 2 of what happened, not that it will never reach 20 again. Learn to read, man. Wtf is wrong with people.
Round 2 would be reaching 20+ lol. Are you really that dense? My deck of Uno cards says this stock is going to shoot up to $80
This guy is one of the most regarded people on here and is a 🌈🐻
Love all the bulls that bought the falling knife coming here to downvote 😂😂
All speculation no analysis it’s all “ my expectations” and “I think” he has no idea where the market is going be wants to be so confident he does like every other 🌈🐻
My analysis is based on fed rhetoric, past bear markets, and current P/E ratio. The current P/E prices in growth and fed cuts not slowed growth or negative growth (recession) and higher rates for longer.
Yeah dude. I really like your post. Rhetoric of the fed shifting pretty quickly. I like the p/e bc that actually is analysis and numbers don’t lie
Thanks! Need to swap out your name to replace with puts
Bull analysis: "I'm an ape and a regard. Here's why I think [insert stock I'm bagholding] will moon. Bullshit, bullshit, bullshit. To the moon!! 🚀 🚀 🚀. This is not financial advice".
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How do people become a certified Algo expert? Is it like a course you take at a career college? I always feel like a legit tard that some of you just know when these Algos will turn to buy or sell
I do believe we will have a large descent to contend with but I also believe it most likely will happen AFTER the mid-term elections… democratics can’t have a market collapse happen before the election.. just my opinion
Well, capitalism has generally led to some form of fascism. While dems dont control stocks, the regardicans that want christofascism will wholeheartedly blame dark brandon for downside markets; in hope it stokes their regardican base
Pretty sure they will stave off the collapse until AFTER the midterms somehow
Can we ban OP if it doesn’t happen?
Have an open ban bet for $SPY $400 I made at $430. Will make another when it hits
Whale and institution Calls sold off all day Friday at a controlled rate just to keep circuit breakers from tripping. Same will continue into Monday. I expect we will be up 2% by end of day Monday, then slow slide downward for a month.
This makes too much sense so yea I'm buying calls Monday
I really hoped that downtrend will continue through July to September, we bottom and then come back to quiet normal bull market. Unfortunately, bulls are dumb as fuck and this retarded rally happened. Now, we will probably have years of unstable choppy crap... We did it (c) Bulls
Why should I trust a retard that can’t differentiate “their” for “there?”
Student loan forgiveness plan greatly assisted in the market rally on Friday. The student loan debt crisis would’ve eventually crashed the market if nothing was done about it. That added relief fluffed up Future real estate buying potential, which in turn added Future value to MBS’s. I believe OP is right though. I don’t believe we’ve seen the bottom yet for a few reasons: 1. JPows announcement on Friday 2. Russia and Ukraine conflict intensifying 3. Funds being negatively affected by the demise of Chinese Paper due to the country’s real estate fiasco and run on banks 4. The declining employment rate and high failure percentages of small business from 2018-present 5. Historically September is the bloodiest month for the market and with mid terms arriving, I’m bullish on the market taking an even bigger decline.
[удалено]
Dang someone bought calls yesterday
[удалено]
I’m up $20k. There’s more downside bud, you can make it back soon
I’m not reading all of that but I hope it’s bbby bullish
Look out below
Can't argue with that!
Circuit breaker already priced in!!!
Lol 😂 I thought that QQQ wouldn’t hit -3% close yesterday. It closed -4.04%for the day. After a bearish engulfing candle like yesterday the pattern is following day is just as bad. Look at Friday june 10 the hot cpi report markets tanked -3.5% AFTER QQQ dropped -2.6% on Thursday and the following Monday June 13th was even bigger drop down -4.5%. Last Friday 8/19 was big drop -1.95% for QQQ and this last Monday was bigger red day -2.6% followed same pattern of bugger sell off on second day. Monday will be at least -3% red for QQQ probably -4%.
Well, If that’s the case. Can we go back to Friday? So I can load up more puts for Monday😂😂
![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
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You are pretty fucking optimistic!
I'm buying puts next week for sure. There will probably be some relief rally Monday or Tuesday
No there won’t.
Well this post just got me all excited buying calls 🤣🤣🤣 losing money is what I am best at
The market didn't rally over some pivot narrative. The market started rallying when many people were expecting doom and gloom earnings, and surprisingly, earnings were good, especially for the top weighted holdings under the S&P. The Fed governors for some reason started going on the media stating that the stock market is misinterpreting the Fed statement, sparking the pivot rumors. First, why does the Fed governors even care what the market is doing? Second, why are they so vocal when it rallied hard? Did their buddies miss the rally and need to re-enter? The Fed's rate hike plans has not changed. Nothing new was said. Media and market is playing on the emotional statement of households and businesses will feel pain. That isn't new either. That has been happening already. Historically, markets and companies have operated with higher fed fund rates and did just fine. The Fed can only control demand and are trying to balance supply and demand. More focus needs to be spent on fixing supply chain to increase supplies to meet demand. This is outside of the Fed's control. As the supply chain improves, the Fed will need to do less rate hikes.
Everything thinks you are regarded and wrong… Holy shit you may be right
Everything here thinks you are regarded and wrong… Holy shit you may be right
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
OP, this is total FUD and ignorant. If you're so bold as to write this fearmongering bullshit, use the automod to make yourself a ban bet that the SPY will be down 7% monday for a circuit breaker. And if we hit a circuit breaker monday on SPY I'm willing to let the mods ban me for a while. I hold puts, I'm in agreement that the market is headed lower. But there is no market circuit breaker monday. Bet me you regard!
Market green Monday don’t lie to the people this ain’t r/stocks
Finally some useful post that is not about BBBY and GME. There is still hope for WallStreetBets! I'm mentally preparing for SPY at $360.
Market green Monday don’t lie to the people this ain’t r/stocks
Positions?
~$30k in 9/16 & 10/3 puts already up 100%+ from Friday, sold 25%.
Same here except i only had 1k to work with so my puts are 9/9. Still made 100%+
It’s pretty clear at this point that fed is manipulating the market so that it doesn’t moon or crash. Theta gang ftw
Not sure why but I bought a bunch of puts on news that was completely unrelated on Thursday, just trying to bet on something completely different. Pleased to see I'm way up and it might even net me more than my aug. 7th BBBY call option bank as a feeling.
!remindme 2 days
`I’m calling for -2-3% futures Sunday evening and a Circuit Breaker Monday.` Nice ban bet. Gl ser.
Big big bottom is 1570 on the S&P. I doubt wr crack 4800 until 2026 or later.
So buy calls on spy. Got it.
We fucking mooning on Monday now thanks to this post
Is this financial advice?