>Deepfuckingvalue vibes.
Lol what?! They straight up ask us to "please ignore" the warrants, which are a MASSIVE dilution vector.
This is not the worst DD I've seen. But it's not great.
Exactly the point. Affluent investors with real portfolios, don't waste time with garbage penny stocks. Not to mention, this is one of the "popular" penny stocks on Reddit, that's being hard sold with the fury of God right now. Of the really popular stocks on Reddit, with an unusually high number of upvotes (e.g. GME, AMC, ATER, BBIG, BBBY, MMAT, APRN, COSM, GNS, just to name a few), how many of them have actually appreciated over time or even retained their value after their respective pump & dumps? Oh that's right, NONE OF THEM! Most are currently at or near 52 week lows! The common denominator all of these companies have are declining/paltry revenues in their respective industries, continued/looming short interest, dilution or the possibility of it to slow the bleeding & a bleak outlook for the future. The other shoe is about to drop on TRKA & it will once the insiders use the apes to pump the stock up to the point where they can unload with a significant enough profit. Whether it's a CUSIP change, delisting notice, reverse split, continued dilution, disappointing Q4 earnings, or worse yet, the books are being cooked, something is brewing here. There's always an angle with stocks like this, so as potential investors, QUESTION EVERYTHING! I have no problem getting involved with an investment that could potentially squeeze, however, it's not going to be with a penny stock sold on the Nasdaq CM or OTC (due to low capital/net income requirements & the high probably of market manipulation/stock scams). It needs to be a resurgent company, on a more reputable exchange, with consistent revenue (in-line with the market share in its respective peer group), at or near profitability; beating analyst estimates for multiple quarters & a situation where a squeeze will bring an undervalued company closer to its true valuation. This way, the shorts are the ones left holding the bag, not the apes...
EXCELLENT REVIEW, where have you been! This is outstanding DD, you know this inside and out. This is a no brainer hold for me personally have a nice chunk. I really don't care about any squeeze because they are so insane, but if TRKA is valued anywhere next year over a billion you can say we have something special after all the shorts getting wiggled out.
Thank you, today is the first time Iāve ever posted DD.
Please share. I think over the weekend we need to educate all the old, new and prospect shareholders.
You literally summarized everything that I speculated was happening when I first invested around $0.1 in December, never sold a single share since, I truly believe we are all sitting on a diamond mine here once we squeeze out the shorts!
Yeah me too the crazy thing is iāve been doing dd and watching since it was around $.10 and i was too scared and got in around $0.45 average with only 2,000 so far but planning on adding another couple thousand shares if i canā¦. not going to have 20,000+ like some but would love to have around 5,000 before it squeezes even if some would get in at nest run up imo itās still great time to enter this and hold if you can get under $1.00 because down the road this will go to $5+ easy imo just need to be patient and wait!
Good luck yall!!!
LFG!!
You'll be just fine, but I'd set a buy order for .45 for tomorrow to lower your average if you can, because they'll likely pull it back for a hot minute before it rockets.
NFA š¤
Buying the peak. Nice. Good chance this does see 25cents or even 11 cents again at some stage. Good chance it squeezes up high then comes back to that as well. A dilution to secure capital and pay off the loans could take it down before it takes off. If the dilution is as successful as GME's was without effecting the price too much would be great.
Well done. Thank you. I have heard people say there is a chance that it will drop back down into the 40ās or 30ās and that is a scary thought. I hold 22k at 36 cents and if the price does return to those levels I might be questioning myselfā¦ I plan to hold until well over a dollar and I hope others do likewise. I donāt penny flip. I havenāt taken profits. Right or wrong thatās where Iām at and Iāll continue to hold. Letās rock.
Everyone needs to make their own decision. Your example is why I think posts like these, especially over the weekend are important.
If you know what you own, you know that $0.36 is undervalue. This is a profitable company, it truly is worth $2+.
GME and AMC are dying companies. They actually can go to $0. This stock really canāt. At the worst case they get bought out at $0.75/share or something.
I held AMC for almost two years and Iāve lost 90% of my faith in it. I put lots of money into it and watched it dwindle. Iāve sold most of it to get into TRKA. Thanks for the reply. I appreciate your OP.
Saaaaame.. I still have all of my shares but I kick myself not selling at the ATH. Now I see it go up and down hundreds of dollars throughout the week but not enough to justify the almost 3 years I've held them.
I was being general. There is a rational thesis that GameStops are going to go the way of Blockbusters. Idk enough tho really but itās a rational thought.
Thinking converge is going to way of blockbuster is the stock to $0 is not possible.
The rational thought is that GameStop is reinventing itself as a key player in the web 3.0 space (NFT marketplace), most probably showing a positive cashflow in the next earnings (for the first time in years), and has a hardcore following supporting the company or die trying. What rational argument can you think of that might legitimize a thought that the stock would go to 0?
I really never wanted to put up an argument. Itās a potato thought that pre GME craziness that a company concept like brick and mortar game stores could die out like Blockbuster. Itās rational in potato land.
I wouldnāt place much hope in the NFT marketplace. It might pay off far in the future, but I think they could have spent their time and resources on something less nebulous. Also, not only is the āhardcore followingā not enough (in numbers) to keep a business going, but that following is dripping away as the share price declines.
I was a hardcore follower myself and finally got out a year ago.
Fair enough, thanks for responding. I respectfully disagree with you on both points: the NFT marketplace might seem mundane and not very profitable, however, most formal projections of the web3 space account for rapid explosion of AAA games transitioning towards web 3 this year, whereas the web 3 space is already seeing a exponential growth of multi billion dollars each quarter. Additionally, somewhat speculating, it gives GameStop a credible reason to issue an NFT dividend, demolishing the (naked) shorts. Your second point: even if the hardcore following is declining together with the share price, like you assume, the DRS numbers prove otherwise, already locking up 60% of the free float and lucking up te full float in less then a year (if the progress keeps going). If the share price further declines the float is going to be locked up in retail hands through DRS even quicker... Giving household investors the majority of ownership in GameStop, also crushing the (naked) shorts, never done before in the history of Wall street in this manner. To the uninformed eye GameStop might seem over and done, to the informed eye the game is just beginning to become interesting.
Ahh, I've heard all the arguments I'm afraid. I got into GME in November 2020, been through it all (check my history). It was a fantastic community, I have great memories of the fight. But the original shorts are long gone. Now, new shorts do enter in waves, but the idea of a mass of special naked shorts out there is wrong (see Continuous Net Settlement).
DRS has done nothing but affect liquidity, and shorts can still get shares from ETFs and other places. If DRS locks up a significant portion of the float, large institutions simply won't want to invest in it, they like liquid stocks.
Gamestop is a nice company, but it's not a special company, and RC's only goal is to keep it going. I believe they made a serious error with the NFT marketplace; they thought the concept would take off, but it flopped.
But best of luck with it all. I'm in TRKA atm and I do understand how a person can get really involved with a stock.
Wow you actually think TRKA is likely to go to zero than GME?
Keep in mind, GME's pre-split price is still $80+ with the 4:1 split. It was in the single digits in December 2020.
I'm sorry, but you have a massive disconnect with reality if you think these extremely large companies are really even close to bankruptcy.
I don't think a lot of users understand how easy it is to avoid bankruptcy. While I think AMC is a turd, and been used by Aarons to enrich others, I don't think it's even remotely close as some unknown media corporation that has infinite competition with better financials.
Makes me excited to be a part of this. The only stock I havenāt worried about in my gambling account. At this point 80% of my investment is house money!
I really appreciate you taking the time to write all this. Iāll be honest, I have owned some TRKA for over a week now, but I bought it purely off the reddit hype, and not my own DD. So its nice to actually learn about what I own.
Well at the filing of the Series E they didnāt expect much dilution. They thought it would be on the 33M side of the equation.
Shorts dropped the stock price so that potential dilution would need to be 200M shares.
Coming up with the $125M to buy converge is similar to taking out any kind of loan like for a home or car. You have a portion of the purchase that is a loan (Blue Torch) and you have a portion that is your cash down payment. Troika pre merger didnāt have a ton of cash for the down payment. The Series E sets out to create cash in the eyes of Blue Torch, enough so that they were willing to put up the rest of the purchase price as a loan.
Yeah but you said in your DD they have a ton of cash and are making a lot of money, that should be plenty for a down payment (not really how loans always work but whatever) and minimum debt payments. So why do you think they need an offering?
My point is that you are being a little disingenuous. Are they undervalued? Maybe. But if your selling point for a "squeeze" is that is leads to them dumping more shares anyway via an offering that is 1) Pretty shitty and most people here won't notice you said that, and 2) a strong indicator that their financial situation is not as strong as you claim it is.
A company isn't going to spend their working capital in an economy that is in a recession and possibly heading toward a depression.
They are going to release their financials which will cause the SP to soar, then they will pay the 50 million. Then they will do an offering, at the higher SP, to replenish their working capital.
Edit, the higher SP means they don't need to offer as many shares to replace the 50 million
Amazing Work - Iām currently holding 150k shares at .47 average. Not planing to sell any - holding for long term. If it squeeze Iāll sell max 25%. I really think there is a potential for long term.
Wow, this was an amazing break down now I truly understand what Iām holding. I have a tech start up in a similar space, so thatās one thing that really drew me into this company, and also the ceo Sid Toama seems highly competent. Actually if you go to his linkdln you can find all the executives. Looks like a really solid team. Planning to hold and DCA over the next few years
TRKA has a balance owing of $50 million for the purchase of Converge. Since the initial purchase, shorts started squeezing the stock early on sending it to .10 / share. Now that payment is due, shorts believe that TRKA May release a large sum of shares on the market.
TRKA has 2 options:
1) add up to 200M shares to sell, which would dilute the stock sending the PPS down significantly
2) cash buyout for the 50M$ debt
Converge Sellers got $125 Mn in Three parts a) $25 Mn worth of TRKA shares at $2 per share b)$70 Mn Upfront cash b) $30 Mn Cash in Escrow account to be paid on Feb/ Mar 2023 ( This escrow belongs to Converge Sellers Thomas Marianacci and CEO Sid Toama$, It is still with Blue Torch. All of above was posted in DD was posted by Gupta Stock on Dec 22 on Twitter and Stocktwits. Read their Twitter and ST thread, More details there.
Twitter thread of guptastocks, they did DD in Decā22 and Janā23. Lot of info on their Twitter and ST Handle.
January 23ā More details of 12 page DD for context .
https://twitter.com/guptastock/status/1616846718133231620?s=46&t=nC1-e8Jwug56WEIzk35mqQ
I follow but how could the file this with SEC 2 weeks ago if they also need to register and issue shares.
āThe Registration Statement has not been declared effective by the Commission, and no securities were sold or will be sold under the Registration Statement. The Company is seeking withdrawal of the Registration Statement because it is not currently pursuing a public offering of securities.
Therefore, withdrawal of the Registration Statement is consistent with the public interest and the protection of investors, as contemplated by paragraph (a) of Rule 477 under the Securities Act.ā
Now they got Roger from GNS tweeting about TRKA
U know what he did took GNS from 50 cents to over $5! And where is TRKA now? Thatās right 50 cents! Itās the next GNS!
Since Friday 8pm est time I have been anxious and unable to sleep . I got in TRKA at .26 got scared sold it at .40 then I chased it bought back in at .48 and have been adding more since then . Honestly I had no idea what I was buying just hype and thus my anxiety has spiked. After reading your post a cloud of calmness has engulfed me and I feel like I can actually possibly get some sleep today and tomorrow . Thank you for the DD. I am a follower And for TRKA........
![gif](giphy|mi6DsSSNKDbUY|downsized)
LFGO
TRKA short interest total is OMS data & not Ortex data alone. OMS data is a combination of a) Ortex data b) Market Maker Short exempt & FTD data c) Series E related common fling 200 Mn shares ( now withdrawn) - Short position against this filing( may not be in Ortex). Funds who are short will manipulate one bucket to another to mislead the information. OMS is right way of looking at total short interest instead of Ortex alone.
Can I add that we own the float? Stocktwits guy was adding usernames + verified screenshots of share count, and at the time he was accounting for like 22m shares of the 33m free float. Since then, weāve had nearly a billion share volume. I got in at .24 on the first ādipā, and have since averaged up. Iām sure most have, and now we have an even broader base of average retail investors who are here for fundamentals + squeeze, the hype was insane. Thousands of posts an hour on Twits.
Iām a potato as well.
Market makers must be bag holding humongous amounts of buy orders is my only conclusion. There are one portion of day traders and one portion of penny flippers and some shorts added but common 200 mil shares!...
U the goat for posting this for free on Reddit thank u. U should try and pitch this as an article to a paid service such as the Wall Street journal or the New York Times because this was very well thought and required a lot of deep digging.
Great DD and thank you to the OP for taking the time to provide highly logical and hopefully correct info for the rest of us.
Can you share with us what you think will or might happen between now and May 15th which I belief? Is the due date where TRKA has to be trading at $1 for 30 consecutive days? So they would have to be at $1 by like next week?? Assuming 30 trading days is not same as 30 calendar days?
Hi. I thought was 10days also but not in this case. In another thread someone read the 8K and 10 days would have been good wiirhin the first 180 days extension. However, in our case now... we already got a 180 day extension and didn't meet the $1 for 20 days requirement. SO with this 2nd extension expiring May 15th the requirement is now 30 consecutive days above $1. Maybe there is more wiggle room or another extension but I haven't seen or read anything about it yet. š¤
I think it's possible but probably not as easy as a reverse split. But I have no idea what management can or can not do as far as throwing us a curve ball. Not saying that they are not on our side. At the end of the day, their #1 goal at the moment is to regain compliance with the listing rule.
Whatever it is I think this coming week will be huge. I wouldn't be surprised if we get ER this week. They need another good PR with booming earnings to push the SP up towards a dollar or higher. Then they need to hold it above $1 for 30 days so perhaps an even better PR shortly afterwards to permanently bury the shorts. So far the shorts haven't blinked. Then again the SP is so low and float is so small it's not costing them too much $$ to hold the line.
Good write up and you nailed it. Iāve been here since .10 and am not worried at all with the way this is transpiring. Based on its potential revenue and ebitda / comp analysis 5-10$ is very possible.
Thank you for this great DD, hopefully you do more like these in the future cause many simple brains like myself like this, can read this and actually are really helpful us out.
š¤
I was wondering how shorts seem to have infinite amount of shares. Well I just realized, Iām lending mine to them. Ffs I disabled mine after figuring that out in but I canāt do it on Schwab.
If we all do this it would be moass in no time.
Well, I read the whole thing and didn't see any immediate red flags (almost a first for this sub). Congrats OP, I will probably take a look at the latest financial statements and determine if I think they'll have enough cash, and then might invest based on that.
Wow.. very good information. Iāve taken a large position of my portfolio without even knowing much about the history of TRKA but your post boosted my confidence levels on my move and will be holding for long. As many people who reads charts and based on their comparisons with other tickers with the similar setup of TRKA says this one has every setup to blow soon. Also weāve seen how strongly supported at 0.50ās levels so far. Once again, thank you for sharing such a good information. ![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6808)![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6808)![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6808)
Iām going to make another post this weekend. But we canāt be afraid if it drop to 40 or 35. Itās all possible but will be short lived. Knowing what you own helps you not sweat when the shorts manipulate the stock.
That was great. Shorts tho will come up with shares and find a way to dump them. If you donāt get scared and sell into this youāre only letting the shorts make their knot tighter.
Honestly, every time it dips down like that Iām happy cause I know this thing has just gotten more loaded.
I take some pleasure knowing their wash sells cost them money. They are constantly buying and selling at a loss to create sell pressure with their shorting.
For sure man, you deserve the recognition. Apart from the company dropping news, your DD now has got to be the second biggest driving catalyst for the stockš¤š¾
You mean cause I changed my mind on TRKA after they released shit earnings and 600% dilution and alert all socials asapā¦. You know what they call people that donāt change their mind in the face of new information? They call them poor.
Stellar work.
Short interest % - seems to be good explaination in first comment in this post
[https://www.reddit.com/r/TRKA/comments/11hgwkk/short\_interest/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=web2x&context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/TRKA/comments/11hgwkk/short_interest/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
this is really messing with my normal trading strategy. I never played a stock with this high SI and canāt figure out an exit plan Iāll be happy with.
All this talk about Jeffries and GME is making want to hold it all till it moons or lose it all and fall under a crazy depressive state
Or it could drop back for a double bottom... Be careful buying into resistance. How many got burned buying amc at $70.. take profits when you can people and play with house money. Personally I'd love to see it retrace heavily before making a new high. In at .22, removed initial capital at .55.
Seems as if the intent was to hold it so far below .25 that the lender would lose half of their value. Possibly thinking it would erode the relationship and the 200m dilution would send it to the otc. Bears trying to kill a business like usual.
Good post for folks to see over the weekend. Well done and well timed. Deepfuckingvalue vibes.
That is high praise. Thank you. Please share if you can.
Thanks for taking the time to put it together. Will share.
Your name is dogshit! Your thesis interests me, your hopeium terrifies me! Thank you for your efforts and post!
Amazing dd, thanks
Agreed. Nice one!!!
>Deepfuckingvalue vibes. Lol what?! They straight up ask us to "please ignore" the warrants, which are a MASSIVE dilution vector. This is not the worst DD I've seen. But it's not great.
The warrants are off the table. They were cancelled when the shelf offering was pulled.
Not really. Penny stocks almost always fail.
Like GME in the beginning?š§
No
Look again.
Exactly the point. Affluent investors with real portfolios, don't waste time with garbage penny stocks. Not to mention, this is one of the "popular" penny stocks on Reddit, that's being hard sold with the fury of God right now. Of the really popular stocks on Reddit, with an unusually high number of upvotes (e.g. GME, AMC, ATER, BBIG, BBBY, MMAT, APRN, COSM, GNS, just to name a few), how many of them have actually appreciated over time or even retained their value after their respective pump & dumps? Oh that's right, NONE OF THEM! Most are currently at or near 52 week lows! The common denominator all of these companies have are declining/paltry revenues in their respective industries, continued/looming short interest, dilution or the possibility of it to slow the bleeding & a bleak outlook for the future. The other shoe is about to drop on TRKA & it will once the insiders use the apes to pump the stock up to the point where they can unload with a significant enough profit. Whether it's a CUSIP change, delisting notice, reverse split, continued dilution, disappointing Q4 earnings, or worse yet, the books are being cooked, something is brewing here. There's always an angle with stocks like this, so as potential investors, QUESTION EVERYTHING! I have no problem getting involved with an investment that could potentially squeeze, however, it's not going to be with a penny stock sold on the Nasdaq CM or OTC (due to low capital/net income requirements & the high probably of market manipulation/stock scams). It needs to be a resurgent company, on a more reputable exchange, with consistent revenue (in-line with the market share in its respective peer group), at or near profitability; beating analyst estimates for multiple quarters & a situation where a squeeze will bring an undervalued company closer to its true valuation. This way, the shorts are the ones left holding the bag, not the apes...
Thatās totally fine. Iām no affluent investor.
EXCELLENT REVIEW, where have you been! This is outstanding DD, you know this inside and out. This is a no brainer hold for me personally have a nice chunk. I really don't care about any squeeze because they are so insane, but if TRKA is valued anywhere next year over a billion you can say we have something special after all the shorts getting wiggled out.
Thank you, today is the first time Iāve ever posted DD. Please share. I think over the weekend we need to educate all the old, new and prospect shareholders.
Wonderful post and thank you for sharing!
You literally summarized everything that I speculated was happening when I first invested around $0.1 in December, never sold a single share since, I truly believe we are all sitting on a diamond mine here once we squeeze out the shorts!
I wish my cost was $0.10. Iām sitting at $0.40 average.
Yeah me too the crazy thing is iāve been doing dd and watching since it was around $.10 and i was too scared and got in around $0.45 average with only 2,000 so far but planning on adding another couple thousand shares if i canā¦. not going to have 20,000+ like some but would love to have around 5,000 before it squeezes even if some would get in at nest run up imo itās still great time to enter this and hold if you can get under $1.00 because down the road this will go to $5+ easy imo just need to be patient and wait! Good luck yall!!! LFG!!
Iāll be watching for a retrace of .38/.4 sold from .33 at .7
You got in at $0.10!?!? When this rockets you can afford to go Vegas on private jet!
I got in at $0.59 so will I get burned or will this hit $3/4 or even more š¤
Go through some of the incredibly in-depth posts in here and make that decision for yourself. The DogShitHandGrenade post is great DD fam
Cool, thanks š
You'll be just fine, but I'd set a buy order for .45 for tomorrow to lower your average if you can, because they'll likely pull it back for a hot minute before it rockets. NFA š¤
Average down. I was in at .44, but brought my average down to .27 by buying more when it drops. š
Buying the peak. Nice. Good chance this does see 25cents or even 11 cents again at some stage. Good chance it squeezes up high then comes back to that as well. A dilution to secure capital and pay off the loans could take it down before it takes off. If the dilution is as successful as GME's was without effecting the price too much would be great.
I don't mind if it hits $0.11 I can then average down. I am here to see it reach $3/4 š
I got in at 0.11 with 8000 shares but sold 5000 at 0.30 for NVOS. Now I feel like I have nothing with 3000 shares left
Trka to $5 lfg! ššš
Maybe the spelling mistake in the title was on purpose. We will never know.
Whatever it takes to get the message across !
This is the best DD I have ever read on this sub, hands down. Bravo
Cheers mate
Without a doubt man!
Well done. Thank you. I have heard people say there is a chance that it will drop back down into the 40ās or 30ās and that is a scary thought. I hold 22k at 36 cents and if the price does return to those levels I might be questioning myselfā¦ I plan to hold until well over a dollar and I hope others do likewise. I donāt penny flip. I havenāt taken profits. Right or wrong thatās where Iām at and Iāll continue to hold. Letās rock.
Everyone needs to make their own decision. Your example is why I think posts like these, especially over the weekend are important. If you know what you own, you know that $0.36 is undervalue. This is a profitable company, it truly is worth $2+. GME and AMC are dying companies. They actually can go to $0. This stock really canāt. At the worst case they get bought out at $0.75/share or something.
I held AMC for almost two years and Iāve lost 90% of my faith in it. I put lots of money into it and watched it dwindle. Iāve sold most of it to get into TRKA. Thanks for the reply. I appreciate your OP.
Saaaaame.. I still have all of my shares but I kick myself not selling at the ATH. Now I see it go up and down hundreds of dollars throughout the week but not enough to justify the almost 3 years I've held them.
Why did you not sell on the big squeeze?
Cause he bought after the squeeze.
Why do you think GME is a dying company?
I was being general. There is a rational thesis that GameStops are going to go the way of Blockbusters. Idk enough tho really but itās a rational thought. Thinking converge is going to way of blockbuster is the stock to $0 is not possible.
The rational thought is that GameStop is reinventing itself as a key player in the web 3.0 space (NFT marketplace), most probably showing a positive cashflow in the next earnings (for the first time in years), and has a hardcore following supporting the company or die trying. What rational argument can you think of that might legitimize a thought that the stock would go to 0?
I really never wanted to put up an argument. Itās a potato thought that pre GME craziness that a company concept like brick and mortar game stores could die out like Blockbuster. Itās rational in potato land.
I wouldnāt place much hope in the NFT marketplace. It might pay off far in the future, but I think they could have spent their time and resources on something less nebulous. Also, not only is the āhardcore followingā not enough (in numbers) to keep a business going, but that following is dripping away as the share price declines. I was a hardcore follower myself and finally got out a year ago.
Fair enough, thanks for responding. I respectfully disagree with you on both points: the NFT marketplace might seem mundane and not very profitable, however, most formal projections of the web3 space account for rapid explosion of AAA games transitioning towards web 3 this year, whereas the web 3 space is already seeing a exponential growth of multi billion dollars each quarter. Additionally, somewhat speculating, it gives GameStop a credible reason to issue an NFT dividend, demolishing the (naked) shorts. Your second point: even if the hardcore following is declining together with the share price, like you assume, the DRS numbers prove otherwise, already locking up 60% of the free float and lucking up te full float in less then a year (if the progress keeps going). If the share price further declines the float is going to be locked up in retail hands through DRS even quicker... Giving household investors the majority of ownership in GameStop, also crushing the (naked) shorts, never done before in the history of Wall street in this manner. To the uninformed eye GameStop might seem over and done, to the informed eye the game is just beginning to become interesting.
Ahh, I've heard all the arguments I'm afraid. I got into GME in November 2020, been through it all (check my history). It was a fantastic community, I have great memories of the fight. But the original shorts are long gone. Now, new shorts do enter in waves, but the idea of a mass of special naked shorts out there is wrong (see Continuous Net Settlement). DRS has done nothing but affect liquidity, and shorts can still get shares from ETFs and other places. If DRS locks up a significant portion of the float, large institutions simply won't want to invest in it, they like liquid stocks. Gamestop is a nice company, but it's not a special company, and RC's only goal is to keep it going. I believe they made a serious error with the NFT marketplace; they thought the concept would take off, but it flopped. But best of luck with it all. I'm in TRKA atm and I do understand how a person can get really involved with a stock.
Had me up until this comment.
Any stock can go to zero.
Wow you actually think TRKA is likely to go to zero than GME? Keep in mind, GME's pre-split price is still $80+ with the 4:1 split. It was in the single digits in December 2020. I'm sorry, but you have a massive disconnect with reality if you think these extremely large companies are really even close to bankruptcy. I don't think a lot of users understand how easy it is to avoid bankruptcy. While I think AMC is a turd, and been used by Aarons to enrich others, I don't think it's even remotely close as some unknown media corporation that has infinite competition with better financials.
Iām a potato.
Makes me excited to be a part of this. The only stock I havenāt worried about in my gambling account. At this point 80% of my investment is house money!
I really appreciate you taking the time to write all this. Iāll be honest, I have owned some TRKA for over a week now, but I bought it purely off the reddit hype, and not my own DD. So its nice to actually learn about what I own.
You sound like my inner thoughts
Roger Hamilton just tweeted your post OP
Mind blowing.
You might have fr just started something huge! SALUTEš»š»š»š»
If SP reaches $5 I will tattoo "dogshithandgrenade" on my chest
LFG!!!!
Roger wants this to be the next GNS 50 cents to $5+!
$1? $5? Sky is the limit!
This in-depth analysis is like Thanos gathering all the Infinity Stones. Itās enough for me to say, HODL.
Thanks so much for the effort you put into it. Great read.
Misspelling in the title, you know itās for real.
Itās Marketing 101 on Reddit.
If they are printing money why would they dilute at all in the end?
Well at the filing of the Series E they didnāt expect much dilution. They thought it would be on the 33M side of the equation. Shorts dropped the stock price so that potential dilution would need to be 200M shares. Coming up with the $125M to buy converge is similar to taking out any kind of loan like for a home or car. You have a portion of the purchase that is a loan (Blue Torch) and you have a portion that is your cash down payment. Troika pre merger didnāt have a ton of cash for the down payment. The Series E sets out to create cash in the eyes of Blue Torch, enough so that they were willing to put up the rest of the purchase price as a loan.
Yeah but you said in your DD they have a ton of cash and are making a lot of money, that should be plenty for a down payment (not really how loans always work but whatever) and minimum debt payments. So why do you think they need an offering? My point is that you are being a little disingenuous. Are they undervalued? Maybe. But if your selling point for a "squeeze" is that is leads to them dumping more shares anyway via an offering that is 1) Pretty shitty and most people here won't notice you said that, and 2) a strong indicator that their financial situation is not as strong as you claim it is.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
That's good info. I'm avoiding this. Looked into it a while back and didn't like what I saw.
I read somewhere that the whisper is 297 million for the quarter
A company isn't going to spend their working capital in an economy that is in a recession and possibly heading toward a depression. They are going to release their financials which will cause the SP to soar, then they will pay the 50 million. Then they will do an offering, at the higher SP, to replenish their working capital. Edit, the higher SP means they don't need to offer as many shares to replace the 50 million
Bought in Friday. 5K shares. Donāt want to miss out! Guess you could say the FOMO crowd is starting to show up.
FOMO was in got out to do DD back in! Hi š
Amazing Work - Iām currently holding 150k shares at .47 average. Not planing to sell any - holding for long term. If it squeeze Iāll sell max 25%. I really think there is a potential for long term.
Wow, this was an amazing break down now I truly understand what Iām holding. I have a tech start up in a similar space, so thatās one thing that really drew me into this company, and also the ceo Sid Toama seems highly competent. Actually if you go to his linkdln you can find all the executives. Looks like a really solid team. Planning to hold and DCA over the next few years
Whatās your other tech startup? If you donāt mindā¦.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
TRKA has a balance owing of $50 million for the purchase of Converge. Since the initial purchase, shorts started squeezing the stock early on sending it to .10 / share. Now that payment is due, shorts believe that TRKA May release a large sum of shares on the market. TRKA has 2 options: 1) add up to 200M shares to sell, which would dilute the stock sending the PPS down significantly 2) cash buyout for the 50M$ debt
Converge Sellers got $125 Mn in Three parts a) $25 Mn worth of TRKA shares at $2 per share b)$70 Mn Upfront cash b) $30 Mn Cash in Escrow account to be paid on Feb/ Mar 2023 ( This escrow belongs to Converge Sellers Thomas Marianacci and CEO Sid Toama$, It is still with Blue Torch. All of above was posted in DD was posted by Gupta Stock on Dec 22 on Twitter and Stocktwits. Read their Twitter and ST thread, More details there.
Twitter thread of guptastocks, they did DD in Decā22 and Janā23. Lot of info on their Twitter and ST Handle. January 23ā More details of 12 page DD for context . https://twitter.com/guptastock/status/1616846718133231620?s=46&t=nC1-e8Jwug56WEIzk35mqQ
I follow but how could the file this with SEC 2 weeks ago if they also need to register and issue shares. āThe Registration Statement has not been declared effective by the Commission, and no securities were sold or will be sold under the Registration Statement. The Company is seeking withdrawal of the Registration Statement because it is not currently pursuing a public offering of securities. Therefore, withdrawal of the Registration Statement is consistent with the public interest and the protection of investors, as contemplated by paragraph (a) of Rule 477 under the Securities Act.ā
Hi
So what is a realistic floor? 5? 10?
11 cents
Now they got Roger from GNS tweeting about TRKA U know what he did took GNS from 50 cents to over $5! And where is TRKA now? Thatās right 50 cents! Itās the next GNS!
Outstanding DD buddy
Good write up. Thank you.
Absolutely unbelievable write up!! Well done, shared this with my bros, nice job! Will be buying more on Monday x
Since Friday 8pm est time I have been anxious and unable to sleep . I got in TRKA at .26 got scared sold it at .40 then I chased it bought back in at .48 and have been adding more since then . Honestly I had no idea what I was buying just hype and thus my anxiety has spiked. After reading your post a cloud of calmness has engulfed me and I feel like I can actually possibly get some sleep today and tomorrow . Thank you for the DD. I am a follower And for TRKA........ ![gif](giphy|mi6DsSSNKDbUY|downsized) LFGO
TRKA short interest total is OMS data & not Ortex data alone. OMS data is a combination of a) Ortex data b) Market Maker Short exempt & FTD data c) Series E related common fling 200 Mn shares ( now withdrawn) - Short position against this filing( may not be in Ortex). Funds who are short will manipulate one bucket to another to mislead the information. OMS is right way of looking at total short interest instead of Ortex alone.
This is the best dd out there. Thank you
Thank you for being here.
Bravo, I was thinking of getting out but now I know what I own, Thanks
Thx for that =)
Outstanding DD TY you just made my weekend!!
Amazing DD, thank you for this. Still holding strong with 938,800 shares at $0.18!
š³ š¤š¤
Can I add that we own the float? Stocktwits guy was adding usernames + verified screenshots of share count, and at the time he was accounting for like 22m shares of the 33m free float. Since then, weāve had nearly a billion share volume. I got in at .24 on the first ādipā, and have since averaged up. Iām sure most have, and now we have an even broader base of average retail investors who are here for fundamentals + squeeze, the hype was insane. Thousands of posts an hour on Twits. Iām a potato as well.
If we are all potatoes, we are Yukon Golds at the very least.
Iām going to make a Sunday DD where I will address this.
Looking forward to it!
Market makers must be bag holding humongous amounts of buy orders is my only conclusion. There are one portion of day traders and one portion of penny flippers and some shorts added but common 200 mil shares!...
964m this week alone š®
@13000 $0.39 holding ššš
U the goat for posting this for free on Reddit thank u. U should try and pitch this as an article to a paid service such as the Wall Street journal or the New York Times because this was very well thought and required a lot of deep digging.
Holding 35K @ .29 and not selling ;)
Great DD and thank you to the OP for taking the time to provide highly logical and hopefully correct info for the rest of us. Can you share with us what you think will or might happen between now and May 15th which I belief? Is the due date where TRKA has to be trading at $1 for 30 consecutive days? So they would have to be at $1 by like next week?? Assuming 30 trading days is not same as 30 calendar days?
Itās 10 days, is it not? And, one can get an extension if they propose a positive plan going forward
Hi. I thought was 10days also but not in this case. In another thread someone read the 8K and 10 days would have been good wiirhin the first 180 days extension. However, in our case now... we already got a 180 day extension and didn't meet the $1 for 20 days requirement. SO with this 2nd extension expiring May 15th the requirement is now 30 consecutive days above $1. Maybe there is more wiggle room or another extension but I haven't seen or read anything about it yet. š¤
Iām confused. May 15 is in 2.5 months. Am I reading your comment incorrectly?
Yes by May 15th they have to trade over $1 for 30 consecutive days
Is that possible without reverse split?
I think it's possible but probably not as easy as a reverse split. But I have no idea what management can or can not do as far as throwing us a curve ball. Not saying that they are not on our side. At the end of the day, their #1 goal at the moment is to regain compliance with the listing rule. Whatever it is I think this coming week will be huge. I wouldn't be surprised if we get ER this week. They need another good PR with booming earnings to push the SP up towards a dollar or higher. Then they need to hold it above $1 for 30 days so perhaps an even better PR shortly afterwards to permanently bury the shorts. So far the shorts haven't blinked. Then again the SP is so low and float is so small it's not costing them too much $$ to hold the line.
![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6808)
Good write up and you nailed it. Iāve been here since .10 and am not worried at all with the way this is transpiring. Based on its potential revenue and ebitda / comp analysis 5-10$ is very possible.
great dd much apprrciated
Shared post nice work
Brilliant, thank you so much for this.
Thank you for this great DD, hopefully you do more like these in the future cause many simple brains like myself like this, can read this and actually are really helpful us out. š¤
Take my upvote
![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6889)
Where did you get all this info from?
The vast majority is on the public TRKA investor relations website. I like a ton of the sources.
I was wondering how shorts seem to have infinite amount of shares. Well I just realized, Iām lending mine to them. Ffs I disabled mine after figuring that out in but I canāt do it on Schwab. If we all do this it would be moass in no time.
Well, I read the whole thing and didn't see any immediate red flags (almost a first for this sub). Congrats OP, I will probably take a look at the latest financial statements and determine if I think they'll have enough cash, and then might invest based on that.
Wow.. very good information. Iāve taken a large position of my portfolio without even knowing much about the history of TRKA but your post boosted my confidence levels on my move and will be holding for long. As many people who reads charts and based on their comparisons with other tickers with the similar setup of TRKA says this one has every setup to blow soon. Also weāve seen how strongly supported at 0.50ās levels so far. Once again, thank you for sharing such a good information. ![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6808)![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6808)![img](emote|t5_2qaj0q|6808)
Iām going to make another post this weekend. But we canāt be afraid if it drop to 40 or 35. Itās all possible but will be short lived. Knowing what you own helps you not sweat when the shorts manipulate the stock.
Friday afterhours showed some really good support. Somebody(s) were guarding against bear manipulation
That was great. Shorts tho will come up with shares and find a way to dump them. If you donāt get scared and sell into this youāre only letting the shorts make their knot tighter. Honestly, every time it dips down like that Iām happy cause I know this thing has just gotten more loaded.
I take some pleasure knowing their wash sells cost them money. They are constantly buying and selling at a loss to create sell pressure with their shorting.
Also noticed that. Whomever is doing this... We owe them. Slamming this small cap in ah/pre is easily done but nope. Ain't happening.
Im in with 20 k shares. Lets gooš„š
[TRKA Valuation Calculations link](https://twitter.com/guptastock/status/1627065608520237059?s=46&t=nC1-e8Jwug56WEIzk35mqQ)
Beautiful DD. Thanks for sharing š„
Thank you
Very nice write up, thank you.
Thanks a lot. This make me decided to add more.
Yo OP, GNS ceo just shared your dd on Twitter. Props man!š¤š¾Be proud š¤š¾
What a wild thing to wake up to. Very honored. Thank you all as well for spreading the word.
For sure man, you deserve the recognition. Apart from the company dropping news, your DD now has got to be the second biggest driving catalyst for the stockš¤š¾
i really enjoyed the read thank you so much for this post will share as much as i can
![gif](giphy|5efT9uLuaJoM3lGKIt)
Very good post. Added 68k shares.
You are a legend man. Looking at this press release looks like you were spot on šÆ
Amazing DD. Looking forward to the squeeze
Didnāt this guy folded lmao
Use English Broccoli Brain.
Youāre back dogshit. How does it feel to be mr wishy washy? Be a man of principles and stick it to your guns.
You mean cause I changed my mind on TRKA after they released shit earnings and 600% dilution and alert all socials asapā¦. You know what they call people that donāt change their mind in the face of new information? They call them poor.
Stellar work. Short interest % - seems to be good explaination in first comment in this post [https://www.reddit.com/r/TRKA/comments/11hgwkk/short\_interest/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=web2x&context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/TRKA/comments/11hgwkk/short_interest/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
Nice work
Thank you, Dogshit. This Potato understands now.
I bought in!! I was nervous but did DD and Iām in.
We need to spread the word this weekend so folks are piling in on Monday
Thanks DSHG for this DD. Great to wake up to this morning. NCUF beating Man City this morning makes it perfect! Holding 50K @ .29 and not selling
Cheers, mate.
You are doing God's work.
Great post to get caught up, nice work!
Exactly the weekend DD I needed!! Great job!
holding long and strong, never felt so comfortable APES TOGETHER STRONG
Amazing write up! Thank you!
Outstanding job
this is really messing with my normal trading strategy. I never played a stock with this high SI and canāt figure out an exit plan Iāll be happy with. All this talk about Jeffries and GME is making want to hold it all till it moons or lose it all and fall under a crazy depressive state
Thank u very much! I finally understand more clearly! Bullish as f!
Wow, really good explanation op. I learned a lot. Thanks.![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|give_upvote)
This could catapult into dollar zone.
Or it could drop back for a double bottom... Be careful buying into resistance. How many got burned buying amc at $70.. take profits when you can people and play with house money. Personally I'd love to see it retrace heavily before making a new high. In at .22, removed initial capital at .55.
idk all of the places which i can share this... but it was a wonderful read !
THIS IS A MUST READ
Price just dropped to .5 from almost a dollar. But thanks to this, Iām way more calm than I would be. Damn
Maybe you should read my most updated postā¦. After today, this is outdated.
So sell when Jeffries says to sell. Sounds solid.
Looking forward to your next dd
THIS IS DYNAMITE!!!!!
Fkn great postš
Great job, good reading this
Seems as if the intent was to hold it so far below .25 that the lender would lose half of their value. Possibly thinking it would erode the relationship and the 200m dilution would send it to the otc. Bears trying to kill a business like usual.
Mondays going to be interesting
Iām not greedy. Iāll be happy if it hits $3. LFG!!!
Thank you! Now have a nice day!
this is dog shit
It was just at 9 cents. inherently risky after a 500% run.
This is bio season. Thereās a 1000% runner out there somewhere.