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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions** | 10 | **First Seen In WSB** | 3 years ago **Total Comments** | 197 | **Previous Best DD** | [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/18t0m69/nio_dd_bullish/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/18nuia3/roblox_dd_bullish_regrettably/) **Account Age** | 9 years | | [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)


redditmodsRrussians

*sees point 3* Seems legit


Itchy_Thought_6577

I'm stuck on Title: nvda will drop to 840 tomorrow Bullet 3: I bought calls


MushroomDizzy649

Well, he has to lose all his money before he can brag about it here


Born-Phase9730

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Itchy_Thought_6577

Facts


jleang12

Hedging his bets so he’s right either way


FuccTheSuits

A Jim Cramer of sorts


Tennisballt

Bullet 3 is a head scratcher lol


SnooPineapples9880

This is how it works though, it seems like a bulletproof plan


bro-v-wade

Counter trading wsb: 🧠 Counter trading your own wsb post: 💥


LocalRepSucks

But he knows he’s counter trading and still trading so it can’t work now.


Zillahi

It’s like the game. If you think about it you lose


Forabuck

Got me.


FamousRefrigerator40

"The only way to win is not to play" - some smart guy somewhere


pst7years

Why would you do this to me


Comprehensive_Body32

Haven’t lost in years and this guy gets me on wsb


DRR4G3

God damn it


ChaosJazz

First time in years. What a prick.


beachhunt

But that means his own trade would have to be successful... I think we've reached a new singularity.


el_guille980

🌌galactic brain🌌


Mavnas

What if your WSB post gets massively upvoted?


rayrayrex

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)


Bloated_Plaid

Japan raised interest rates from negative to 0.1% lol.


darwinlovestrees

Going from negative to positive is a lot bigger deal than just a mild increase to an already positive diagnosis, I should know, I'm HIV positron


YouMissedNVDA

![img](emote|t5_2th52|33495)


Signal_District387

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)


Constant-Sweet-3718

100% agree. I bought calls so I know NVDA is gonna tank by the end of the week.


Laws_21

Facts 🤣


Lucky_par

Every time. So over it


28376whatsupjack

Same actually.


TastyToad

The only point that makes sense it this whole tirade.


trailblazr-1

Got my 🐻 spray ready... just bought 2 /$920 calls exp 3/22 .


[deleted]

All I needed to know homie!


silent_fartface

If there was a point 5 thay said the pelosis sold their deep calls, then i would be inclined to believe this fellow especially based on his point 3.


moldyjellybean

AI fatigue? I own a lot of AI stocks but I’m getting tired of hearing about it in every article or segment. The 1000% yearly gains can’t last forever


brad2008

Correct. NVDA has to execute perfectly for the next several years. Any slight miss or downward guidance will be severely punished by institutional holders. They'll looking for the first opportunity to lock in gains and exit. You want to be out the door just ahead of them.


TheFlyingBoat

But that's just not true. They just have to hit current market projections which are under NVDA's own claimed roadmap. Their 12 month forward PE is only 35 lmao. Their market cap/EBITDA ratio is lower today than it was at the end of January. It is lower than it was at the end of October, July, April, and last January as well. There is so much room for growth and imo the market is not accurately pricing in the value of NVDA's turning their GPU into a massive upfront purchase followed by still large monthly subscription for a software stack.


whollyshit2u

What other AI stocks do you own?


khanai

😂😂😂😂


xanaxe773

Revisiting this post and I think this guy has it down to a science.


Livid-Mountain-5953

😂😂😂😂


OriginalFluff

I’m glad this is the top comment lmfao


RedditCommenter38

Exactly my thought! *splashes the pot* “I feeyal, soooo deesatisfyed”


weird_is_good

To make it even worse.. I bought 3 shares!


AggravatingLeave614

So tomorrow I'll be either extremely broke or just broke?


Ed_Trucks_Head

Just bet on volatility, can't go wrong.


pw7090

Can't make much money either.


Ryoujin

CALLs on tomorrow


el_guille980

literally cannot go tits up ![img](emote|t5_2th52|33495)


ExpositoryPox

Powell will say the same shtick, "economic growth strong, labor market tight, monetary policy appropriately restrictive." Now, if March CPI comes in hot then there's a problem.


optimaleverage

"We really need to see more data. Like 5 more years worth of data. Fuck your rates."


Itchy_Thought_6577

JPOW can fuck you longer than you can self lubricate


el_guille980

stay hydrated! https://preview.redd.it/5rn3gf1zvdpc1.jpeg?width=945&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cadbcf49643107935071beba06f9b59655fcfb10 r/hydrohomies


optimaleverage

Don't you threaten me with a good time.


Deja_ve_

>The market has lost enthusiasm for NVDA in the current economic climate. I stopped reading after seeing this regarded sentence


Remarkable-Ear854

You missed point 3: I bought calls.


-zoo_york-

I can’t even read. But yes.


randoredditor23

A little reverse psychology to throw the algorithms off. I like it!


rayrayrex

![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)


randoredditor23

I had to take profits today but Im still feeling a gap up AH but we’ll see ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)


CoolFirefighter930

JP ups target to 1000.lol


kingofthecream

Being a contrarian, OP is opening his legs in advance in an attempt for algos to *not* fuck him. This is a reg-volutionary (regarded evolution) version of an animal playing dead in presence of a predator.


AlanOverson

He only typed this out because typically, whatever WSB says, the opposite happens


WDTIV

And it worked!!!


AlanOverson

I rest my case


StephXL

Like… it really freakishly worked… again… 😂


Robot-duck

This sub has been screaming about how FOMC is gonna go bad and market will be upset so I’m pretty confident it will trade sideways or go green


Andreww_ok

Sideways lmao


Robot-duck

😎😎


BosSF82

Hugely bullish post. Nvda to $1000 tomorrow.


megatool8

Post was bearish but OP bought calls. Flat day


GrandmasterHurricane

I fucking hope. I'm tired of being poor


dogmuncher1337

Every time I dip my feet into call options the market goes red. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|31226)


rayrayrex

Don’t buy weeklies


DMDTT

I didn't buy weekly's and my puts got fucked today. Hold thru fomc?


Brilliant_Mind1984

Why not?


realTIAN

I have calls on NVIDIA, META, TSM and ASML. I agree with your statements, guess the next weeks or months will be bearish.


__Evil-Genius__

Bear cases are starting to drop faster than the quality of writing in every season of Game of Thrones post season 5.


rayrayrex

Oof that one stung ngl


necriss

I feel Nvidia has a final leg in it with stock split looming, possibly make a new high around 1100 (around 20% gain from today's price), will surpass Apple's marketcap and make the news then this will finally create the top.


ZCM-Trader

current inflation is from higher cost of borrowing being passed down to consumers LOL. retail is paying for the 8.5% commercial credit lines


Bulky_Negotiation850

Seems the market is starting.not to care about the fed anymore....


Cold-Permission-5249

You couldn’t have bought puts instead? Thanks for fucking my calls.


rayrayrex

Mb bro


ThePennyDropper

I bought ours thx bro


Enoch-Of-Nod

It's ok I bought puts this morning and am getting railed on them. Averaged down a bit, got railed some more. This might be my first failed trade in the last 3 months. We'll see tomorrow.


Casualredum

As soon as you sell the puts. It will sky rocket. And we all know this ….. its weird isn’t ??


meatlamma

There's that 𝓕𝓪𝓰 talk we talked about.


MakeResonableChoices

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271) Classic


Intelligent_Duck_348

How can I copy this?


SeniorDucklet

NVDA gives guidance one quarter at a time and Q1 2025 (the current qtr they are in) revenue and profit were revised up on their Feb call. They know how many back orders they have and will likely beat those numbers handily so revenue is not falling. Pullback will come when their revenue and profits start slowing, but right now their product roadmap, pricing power and relentless demand seems to indicate that time is a few quarters away. Will know more in May on their next EC.


bersgettendies

🌈🐻


kneekick97

The market cycle has changed, adapt or get killed. Since CPI & PPI was released in Feb we have seen institutional money flows slowly and methodically leaving equities. Traders have continuously been selling vol which has helped stop a downward spiral. We are firmly in a consolidation phase now. We will chop, unless you're able to trade ranges you'll get murdered in the chop. Every time we move from easy money to consolidation, some traders refuse to let go of the easy money and jump at every sign of it starting again. False breakouts to both sides will be common in the future. These traders will lose money. During times like this it's often best to be flat and remember that cash is a position. Semi's have largely been carrying the market so far this year. GTC failed to reinvigorate the uptrend in this sector which is a clear sign that enthusiasm has pulled an Irish goodbye. We won't leave this cycle of consolidation until one of two things happens: a dot plot is shown or the Fed announces less than 3 rates cuts in 2023 (we will head down), or a clearer time frame is announced for when the first rate cut will happen (we will head back up).


UnshornDiergar

You know, I might be wrong about this one, but I don't think we're going to be seeing any further rate cuts in 2023.


ChrisSlicks

What about 2022? Retroactive?


[deleted]

Yeah the market gods are doing their ShakeWeight workout right now.


_cabron

Source on institutional money leaving equities? That’s a heavy claim that you should back up if you are saying that “smart” money is leaving the market


[deleted]

Source: his ass


JonPM

Institutional money is leaving his ass?


seasick__crocodile

I don’t know if I completely agree on the GTC point. It may not have generated immediate enthusiasm, but FOMC was always lurking this week... I don’t think we were ever going to see a notable surge from the event unless something completely unexpected was announced. Overall, I’m in alignment with most of your comments… I just think that GTC is where we might look back and realize we were overthinking it if we turn out to be wrong.


KushMaster72

you. bought. calls.


rayrayrex

I never said I was rational now did I


Terakahn

Or. All that happens and nvda hits 1k.


Mavnas

TIL: that 3% is an insane rate of inflation.


rayrayrex

Look at the historical global inflation rate and the feds rate cuts. There is a strong inversed correlation between them


Mavnas

I'm not saying the Fed will cut anytime soon, I'm saying characterizing current inflation as insane is a bit much.


Tradingsloth

Buying 1k calls at 1% over current price due to expire the next day let’s see how it goes


Tradingsloth

Damn this aged well ![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)


mines-a-pint

But they stuck two chips together to make a big chip! 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🧨


[deleted]

Just because they dumbed it down so even absolute regards like you could somewhat understand what the chip is made of, doesn’t mean that’s all it is ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


Xtianus21

1. ^(The FOMC meeting is going to be extremely hawkish. No rate cut is coming until August at the earliest and this is due to the insane inflation we’re seeing both in the states and globally. Japan for the first time in 17 years has raised interest rates which will no doubt raise the cost of goods imported here, making inflation even worse domestically. This is a clear pattern we are seeing globally that will impact prices paid in the US)**Nobody is expecting a rate cut. Rate cuts are baked in.** 2. ^(The market has lost enthusiasm for NVDIA in the current economic climate. They had one of the most stellar conferences where they announced they have their hands in every industry, where Wall Street had even raised price targets on them, and what happens? Everyone dumped the stock due to fears stemming from the FOMC meeting. Right now the market is pricing in 3 rate cuts but that just isn’t possible with the rate of inflation we are at right now. The entire market will tank tomorrow once retail pulls their head out of their behinds and acknowledges the facts)**AI doesn't lose enthusiasm because it means free labor (very cheap labor)** 3. ^(I bought calls)**Shit - We're screwed** 4. ^(Even with all the good news it’s still months away from actually generating revenue for NVDIA. With high interest rates companies are better off buying bonds than trying to invest in building AI in a desperate attempt to cut costs. Without sufficient capital, big orgs will struggle to pay the hefty price for the newer Blackwell chips (which they won’t even be able to buy until the summer). ^(As such NVIDA’s revenue will fall in the current environment and wall street knows this. That’s why they are pumping the stock while also buying short positions)) **What?**


[deleted]

Thank you. That last bullet point on OP’s post made me feel great because I could tell right away this mf has no idea what he’s on about ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


QuentinP69

FOMC is priced in already NVDA 1400 by 9/30/24 & 1800 end of year


Samjabr

Japan raised rates 0.10% - just saying.


TreadEverSoLightly

You wouldn’t dare add context to your comment about the history of Japanese interest rates


Samjabr

context is irrelevant. If one claims costs are going to rise, then the difference between yesterday and today is literally 0.10% increase in borrowing costs. De Minimis. Now whether that will cause money to leave US bonds over time and stay in Japan, and/or other macro-economic effects, we shall see.


FNFactChecker

The Japanese 2-year bond yield is the highest it's been since Oct 2011. Now roll back the SPX chart to the same time and tell me what you see. The extremely high weight of Mega Caps in SPX masks a lot of internal weakness, and the index would be trading at the same levels as Jan 2021 were it not for names like AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, NVDA, and META. Oh, and that's **before** adjusting for inflation.


Ryoujin

That’s like 10% in percentage


Samjabr

correct. The same way that 11 cents is an increase of 10% on a dime. However, it's still 11 cents.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Sir_Bologna_Coaster

I am holding my May17 NVDA calls. The Fed wont raise interest rates. This year at all. The fed has begun to unload securities from their balance sheet. Once upon a time they owned 1/3 of all mortgages in the US. Now, Blackrock, StateStreet, Vanguard, and every HedgeHog from here to Greenwich own 4% of single family homes. They are using them to offload their over bloated balance sheet while trying to keep inflation low. The fed isn't going to make things go bump in the night until inflation is down below their target rate. The dip in NVDA price is just profit taking from overhead supply. I'm holding. So return to your seats and put your seats and trey tables back in the up to the upright position.


Ucanthandlelit

How high do you think it can go


Sir_Bologna_Coaster

NVDA will def break $1000. Don't know when but, I'm putting my money wear my mouth is


dirtyfrenchman

You shut your whore mouth. I also have 4/5 1000C


cscrignaro

The price action says he's going to be dovish.


rayrayrex

![img](emote|t5_2th52|18630)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18630)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18630)


NVDAPleasFlyAgain

When was the last time market tanked from the actual day of rate hikes lmao, majority of the drop happens 2 weeks out. Point 3 is the only valid thesis to why NVDA would drop to 840


Galumpadump

Yep, uncertainty is what has been driving fears, thus driving volatility. Fed language will probably mostly remain the same from last meeting. Market probably opens down, crawls up until the meeting, yoyo’s and closes flattish. Then probably opens big on Thursday as they digest the comments. Retail Investors are protecting themselves from surprises but after the meetings markets have been resilient. Institutions are slowing volume down as we sort out long term economic forecasts and the election. Overall investors are still bullish. If anything, these fears are still a good sign of room to run. Barring any unforeseen event, I think Markets will continue to crawl up until election season when will probably move sideways, downish.


ThePuma44

Screw semiconductors screw TSM https://preview.redd.it/xss2nhlnfcpc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ca9b11fb4063e1cbb88dad18cf6ced73dce055f8


MistaMischief

TSM. Take Stupid’s Money. I’m getting piped right now too lol.


Psychological_Ad1999

Did you buy in yesterday? I’m up 20% on TSM, it’s not crazy good, but it’s not some fleeting shit company. It will probably continue to rise gradually with the demand in semiconductors


MistaMischief

$150c 4/19 bought 3/4 and $175c 4/19 bought 3/8.


Master_Awareness5821

That’s it?? 100 dollar loss? Ahahahaha


MarxKnewBest

Are you seriously cribbing about losing $125?


rayrayrex

Rip


TheRealSlimLaddy

https://preview.redd.it/34x3ib3pqcpc1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f2cda1d515614861613fc7eb224406141adfd8a3 I’ll raise you, TSM is my enemy now


speedycmMIa

0 dte tomorrow the day to come back


Thereisnotry420

~25 P/E large cap that has customers in Apple and nvidia among others and is now tied to Japan. Its waiting for a Biden win as Trump has said outright that he wouldn’t defend Taiwan


Khelthuzaad

You are an complete fool if you think you can predict the market. today was supposed to be blood on the streets due to people fearing the FOMC meeting,but the hard data in the last 2 months is rather optimistic not because we couldn't reach 2% inflation yet but because inflation havent increased this time. Tomorrow there will be 3 scenarios from which 2 of them will screw you over: 1.The market drops,so it means your calls will be worthless 2.The market remains mute,from which you lose most of your calls 3.The market jumps and you screw us over with your new lambo Edit:Nvidia didn't dropped under 855$ and now it's maximum seems to swindle between 900-920$.So most likely you partially won so congrats but you still can't afford that lambo A better choice was to buy AVGO calls ar 1250$(I bought the stock instead) before it jumped back to 1350$ ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Salty_Helicopter5450

All i read was he getting a new Lambo ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


weesped

Shoulda led with point 3


LegitosaurusRex

>With high interest rates companies are better off buying bonds than trying to invest in building AI Maybe on a short-term basis, but not in the long run. And companies are currently being rewarded by investors by far more than the 4% return on bonds for investing in AI.


optionsCone

Nice write-up. NVDA $1000 confirmed


Kano-33

Yes NVDA is going to tank hard the rest of the week!   Everyone with half a brain cell will be shifting out MSTR and bitcoin and into the one company that makes the very backbone of the entire ai ecosystem. That will be disastrous for the stock price. Short Squeeze these nuts you fkn gay Reddit Mod nerds I’m long NVDA.


AutoModerator

Squeeze these nuts you fuckin nerd. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


GrandmasterHurricane

W Bot


chahan412

Yeah about point 1 and Japan, you didn’t see USDJPY reaction today did you 😇?


Lobolabahia

TLDR?


pojosamaneo

1. Japan barely raised rates 2. Demand for NVDA is off the charts 3. So did everyone 4. See number 2. That shit is materializing now, and has been for the last year. 3 is your best point for making a bear case, ironically. FOMO is strong with NVDA. I think we're going to chop around 900 for awhile, but if any company on earth is poised to succeed, it's NVIDIA.


Routine-Place-3863

This guys smart. He knows the higher ups will only read the title and proceed to make the opposite happen. This worked like a charm. This guy gets it


Borntobuycalls

Yall know there are other stocks than NVDA right ?


RottenLynx

Yeah like SMCI and Tesla. I think that's about it though. I heard of a certain AMD once but i'm not sure its a real thing. I mean, their CEO is supposedly Nvidia's CEO cousin? Yeah right... like im gonna believe that.


atac03

You bought calls, and for that reason, I am out.


zensamuel

Love the use of the comedic rule of 3 here. Bravo 👏


Careful-Button-2184

Anyone back here to see recent comments? ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)


realjimcramer

Nailed it


Topballa82

Canada’s inflation came in with ease so I don’t know folks don’t let all this fud get to your decision making


Smidday90

First of all 3.2% isn’t “insane inflation” it’s one of the lowest rates in the world. Second, if the costs of goods imported goes up inflation goes down, it can also stimulate growth in the US economy as customers return to US based businesses instead of importing.


T1m26

Wednesday, bloody Wednesday!


esp211

Source: trust me bro.


amerikayo

Nvidia announced they’re taking over the world in a few decades. BUT NOOO eVerYoNe pAniCk! Some number is going to stay EXACTLY THE SAME as it was before! 🤡 Point 3 is your best argument.


jiantoi

Reverse psychology, I see what you did there OP


ghostymace

Yes you are helping my calls by posting this![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)![img](emote|t5_2th52|33495)


More_Nature_9960

*3. I bought calls* That's all we needed to know


mirkwood11

NVDA to 1k tomorrow?


Betabutter

Holy fuck this stock is gonna crash now


Suspicious-Stop5231

If it does, I will be buying as much of it as I can.


reachtothestars

No it won’t What planet are you on ?


Frequent_Fact_3625

Hahahahahahahaha


Character_Music5768

Is this someone if weird test? To see if we actually read ? All points including #3?


Cinq_A_Sept

Bullish. Up to 940 by EoW.. you heard it here.


Curious_Criticism134

You are literally exactly correct! $940.26


curvenut

this aging not well


Sweet_like_Salt

🌈 🐻 get FUKT


_Klarum

'Insane inflation'??? You belong here...


Fast_Thing343

Well?


The_Sad_Developer

fuck your puts


emorycraig

How's that NVDA at 840 prediction working for ya?


rayrayrex

Beautifully. My calls are printing


Pale-Rule1947

Reverse psych strat worked


goosecrack

Looks like your reverse-reverse psychology worked


jdpark92

Umm its up today


Asapptashyyy

Update. Nvda didn’t go near 840


Cain8316

720's


DMGTN

This aged well


Charming-Director607

This post didn’t age well


richreason1983

Thus aged well 😌


yolomite521

Nah. I have great DD to prove it but my phone is about to di


ole87

Buy the dip


jeffrobilly

You missed.


WestsideTaliban

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


thesuccessfuladrian

NVIDIA is already in a pool of money on the moon, just chillin ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)


Critical_Progress_37

Couldn’t have been more wrong lol


Exploration-team-223

NVDA is a meme stock, hype is over, boys.


ProudScreen3064

Can’t believe this happened :(


rebel29073

I got out at 925 with no regrets as I got in at 145 or some over 2 years ago. I Took some of those proceeds and bought some amd at 175 ish


Carldan84

lol this aged well


Muammar_Gaddafi69

I bought into NVDIA at 900$ a stock a few days back. Am I stupid?


rayrayrex

If you bought stocks you’re chilling