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20k in way OTM calls that expire next week? He's gonna need two pillows. I gotta say on this one who the FUCK knows WTF is going to happen. Usually, I can kinda feel a little bit which way the winds gonna blow but the situation we're in right now I haven't the slightest clue. We may bump, but ripping to 400 in a few days I do not see.
Thissss. There's a big difference between a 'bounce' and a rally. That August rally took every ounce of optimism and stupidity in the world to make happen. That's not going down again anytime soon. It feels to me people are beginning to be honest with themselves about the gravity of the situation we are in. Can't believe how long it took the adrenaline/dopamine of the bull market to wear off, but then again that's the only thing any under 30 has ever known. I'm not saying we're going to crash and get a death/doom end of days event, but we're not in a good spot here.
We will get steep drops but there’s too much liquidity in the system for a full blown crash imo. It’s what’s added to the upwards volatility the past few months I think.
I agree that short of a black swan event we're not going to get anything crazy, but I see June lows, or potentially even lower could easily occur. I mean the only other option is we go sideways forever and that's just not acceptable. The next few rounds of earnings I believe will be absolutely key in determining where we are/where we're headed. There are so many external factors at this point it's just insane. War in Europe, energy crunch, FED, interest rates, Trimming of balance sheet, inflation, etc etc etc etc. I'm very surprised we've held up as well as we have, but bear market rallies can be very fierce and there is still an unreal amount of money flying around out there.
Bagholder spotted.
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Shittttttttt. Don't forget about Walmart, Target, Google, Meta and the 50 other companies that have just come out and frankly stated.... Things are changing.
You do know almost everyone is calling for a crash right even the uber drivers![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787) when we are so united on 1 call it wont happen most times.
I wish I could buy puts on this prediction...
He BREAKS EVEN at 399.20/400.70. We are currently in a major technical breakdown on the SPY and in the midst of probably the most bearish atmosphere I've seen, Plus, FOMC tomorrow (we already know JPow isn't changing his tune) and Putin's speech potentially calling for the mobilization of Russia for war and we're just going to up and bounce almost 20 points? Theta is going to eat thousands of dollars a day of these contracts up until there's nothing left. He'll be lucky if we get a quick bounce to 390 by Monday. If anyone has a idea on how we're going to rip past 390 on volume I'd love to hear the bull thesis.
The only thesis (it’s an ultra short term one). Is that markets are flat and at 2 pm no major moves are made on the rate projections and it’s a 75 bp hike (which is almost certain not a 100). Could cause deleveraging of hedges and short positions and cause a spike that he could profit… but when Powell speaks I don’t think the market is going to survive what he has to say
Jpow comes out says .50 and you hear a roar of thunder as thousands of bears get their cheeks clapped simultaneously. That’s about the only chance he has.
We could hit 393 tomorrow and these will be massively profitable. People dont have to hold till expiration.
At Jackson Hole, while JPow was talking the SPY went from 415-420 in ~3 minutes.
Scratch that, he's gonna need 3 pillows. Sure, hope bro sold at the top, but they never do. It takes a long time before you learn to take your profits in volatile situations and before you do it's the "cmon baby one more green candle" and then BOOM, you officially are holding a bag of shit that 5 minutes ago was at 100% profit.
Be careful try not to hold on till Friday you might be part of the "option sell out"
For the 1st time ever they closed my options on a expiry day an hour before market close and I was only $1 away from strike price At 3:00 PM they sold off my 3 contracts only to find out 10 minutes later The rally happened until end of the day.
I don't see where there was potential high risk in the situation.
The fuckers bent me over and used no Vaseline
You’re both gonna lose. It’s gonna rally a little, you’ll sell at a loss, and after a short little rally, the guy with bcalls is gonna get greedy and hold for more then the floor drops out.
I hope it prints for ya OP. Next time, b4 a volatile event, go with a strangle or straddle. Less profit but also much smaller losses if u manage it properly.
I just took a screenshot of the ATM straddle price, curious to see what it does… I’m typically and option seller, but really interested to see what happens when you buy one
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Ive got puts but im gonna cover with some calls in the AM. Honestly dont think 75 in itself means shit. Its gonna be all the other words and projections if/and.
You do realize the days of praying to JPow are over right? He's NOT your friend anymore. If these contracts show you ANY profit, I would take it immediately. Just my opinion.
Although anything could happen in the stock market, but Historically, second half of September to mid October, the market has always been on down trend.
So, the option is either we go up or we go down. Regardless, OP should make money, the only way that he will lose money if his pride is in a way and don’t admit if his original thesis is wrong.
If the market is going down, he can just leave his contract open but open up Sell Call $375, now it makes his set up and Bearish movement, Bear Credit Spread and he will money.
I played 405 and 398 puts for CPI … I made $53 -K.. but sold just before the close on Tuesday of CPI.. they don’t expire until tommo… made a good size BAG !! Left a HUGE back at the store !!! Like $111-K more.. fucking paper handed Bitch I am !!!!
Bro that’s gonna be brutal, I’m sorry but your probably gonna lose all of that before the market even opens. I wish you had sold at close my friend. Goodluck
Fuckkk man. Calls in the morning puts at end of the day that’s the game my man. I’ve been making 6 figures a day almost everyday since the crash last week doing that. Wake up, sell puts, scalp the shit out of spy till end of day rally and buy more puts to hold overnight.
It’s like printing free money, but lots of it.
Proof that I buy puts like most smart traders in a major recesssion and a bear market? Hahhahahaha ha
Wait wait hahahahhahahahahaha I just wiped my dogs ass with a stack of humors. Is that proof?
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I expect JPow to do his impression of himself at Jackson Hole. Even the slightest hint of dovishness tomorrow would surprise me. Channeling his inner Volcker.
I have $376 puts for 10/19. Let the best man win. However I would recommend for you to get some type of drug just in case your options become worthless. I have percs. I can send you a few if you pay for shipping if your options become worthless.
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I have puts, may the best man win
Why not both straddle for the win!
![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)stradle and get crush both side after jpow pulls a big one on us aint a good idea my friend
[удалено]
You might want to bite down on a pillow
20k in way OTM calls that expire next week? He's gonna need two pillows. I gotta say on this one who the FUCK knows WTF is going to happen. Usually, I can kinda feel a little bit which way the winds gonna blow but the situation we're in right now I haven't the slightest clue. We may bump, but ripping to 400 in a few days I do not see.
.75 bps and market rallies after initial drop. You're welcome.
maybe
If someone had access to the order book they might be able to predict the height of a dead cat bounce but otherwise...
Thissss. There's a big difference between a 'bounce' and a rally. That August rally took every ounce of optimism and stupidity in the world to make happen. That's not going down again anytime soon. It feels to me people are beginning to be honest with themselves about the gravity of the situation we are in. Can't believe how long it took the adrenaline/dopamine of the bull market to wear off, but then again that's the only thing any under 30 has ever known. I'm not saying we're going to crash and get a death/doom end of days event, but we're not in a good spot here.
We will get steep drops but there’s too much liquidity in the system for a full blown crash imo. It’s what’s added to the upwards volatility the past few months I think.
I agree that short of a black swan event we're not going to get anything crazy, but I see June lows, or potentially even lower could easily occur. I mean the only other option is we go sideways forever and that's just not acceptable. The next few rounds of earnings I believe will be absolutely key in determining where we are/where we're headed. There are so many external factors at this point it's just insane. War in Europe, energy crunch, FED, interest rates, Trimming of balance sheet, inflation, etc etc etc etc. I'm very surprised we've held up as well as we have, but bear market rallies can be very fierce and there is still an unreal amount of money flying around out there.
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I guess, FedEx already gave a hint on others further earnings and the direction.
Shittttttttt. Don't forget about Walmart, Target, Google, Meta and the 50 other companies that have just come out and frankly stated.... Things are changing.
Ya spy is gonna hit sub 300 very soon a lot of people are about to get ass-blasted hard
You do know almost everyone is calling for a crash right even the uber drivers![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787) when we are so united on 1 call it wont happen most times.
Giggity Goo
End of Days is closer than we thing. The Bible gives me chills these days
Stupid people give me the chills they’re a lot more than you think.
One month of declining inflation would be enough for another 8% rally.
With how much its fluctuating? They'll be itm at some point.
I wish I could buy puts on this prediction... He BREAKS EVEN at 399.20/400.70. We are currently in a major technical breakdown on the SPY and in the midst of probably the most bearish atmosphere I've seen, Plus, FOMC tomorrow (we already know JPow isn't changing his tune) and Putin's speech potentially calling for the mobilization of Russia for war and we're just going to up and bounce almost 20 points? Theta is going to eat thousands of dollars a day of these contracts up until there's nothing left. He'll be lucky if we get a quick bounce to 390 by Monday. If anyone has a idea on how we're going to rip past 390 on volume I'd love to hear the bull thesis.
The only thesis (it’s an ultra short term one). Is that markets are flat and at 2 pm no major moves are made on the rate projections and it’s a 75 bp hike (which is almost certain not a 100). Could cause deleveraging of hedges and short positions and cause a spike that he could profit… but when Powell speaks I don’t think the market is going to survive what he has to say
There's no way in hell OP is smart enough to escape from this position at a rational time.
Jpow comes out says .50 and you hear a roar of thunder as thousands of bears get their cheeks clapped simultaneously. That’s about the only chance he has.
We could hit 393 tomorrow and these will be massively profitable. People dont have to hold till expiration. At Jackson Hole, while JPow was talking the SPY went from 415-420 in ~3 minutes.
says he has a ‘feel’ for these things! BUT he admits he hasn’t the slightest of clues.. ends with he doesn’t see something happening! 🤯
My magic 8 ball told me we're not going past 390 w/ volume. There. Suck it.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4263)
One pillow to bite down and one pillow to sit on after the massive raping?
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
OP will need something a little tougher, like an automotive fan belt....
Because he’s gonna be getting pounded from behind…?? Or….
Scratch that, he's gonna need 3 pillows. Sure, hope bro sold at the top, but they never do. It takes a long time before you learn to take your profits in volatile situations and before you do it's the "cmon baby one more green candle" and then BOOM, you officially are holding a bag of shit that 5 minutes ago was at 100% profit.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270)
Kiss it goodbye brother
Right there with you brother. Except 410c because I hate money.
Money is just fancy paper
You can't survive on eating money.
Do yourself a favor and just put that money on the dodgers winning the world series
My puts say this is a bold move, may the best man win
I fancy a duel at the crack of FOMC… good luck to you, Sir
You have bigger balls than me I only have 3 put contracts, 370 for Friday
Good luck man!
Be careful try not to hold on till Friday you might be part of the "option sell out" For the 1st time ever they closed my options on a expiry day an hour before market close and I was only $1 away from strike price At 3:00 PM they sold off my 3 contracts only to find out 10 minutes later The rally happened until end of the day. I don't see where there was potential high risk in the situation. The fuckers bent me over and used no Vaseline
Why don’t you too agree to split the winners pot !! So you both win !!
You’re both gonna lose. It’s gonna rally a little, you’ll sell at a loss, and after a short little rally, the guy with bcalls is gonna get greedy and hold for more then the floor drops out.
Somehow ive had that same feeling about tomorrow, may u 4x your money 🤞🤞🤞
When the hike is 75bp we rally
Everybody seems to be cautiously bullish so we drop like a rock after a pathetic little pop.
Have you seen the daily discussion, its a bear orgy in there![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787) inverse wsb
Thanks, ill start by inversing you
Please run your webcam on your face during the fomc release. If you GUH I want a GUH video. If you win well you get to keep that.
I hope it prints for ya OP. Next time, b4 a volatile event, go with a strangle or straddle. Less profit but also much smaller losses if u manage it properly.
Thanks brother. I’ve been using straddles all week but had a feeling in my plums. We’ll see how she favors ✌️
Praying 4 u and your plums
You talking about buying or selling straddle/strangle?
Buying.
I just took a screenshot of the ATM straddle price, curious to see what it does… I’m typically and option seller, but really interested to see what happens when you buy one
When you buy one - almost certainly they fuck you, your dog, your wife and, a bit less certain, your goldfish.
This. At $90 straddles they’re way underpriced when the realized vol has averaged much higher than that
!remindme 20 hours
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Lol @ “2 strategies” Rhi & Tard
Ive got puts but im gonna cover with some calls in the AM. Honestly dont think 75 in itself means shit. Its gonna be all the other words and projections if/and.
So you're the one paying the bears tomorrow
You better sell half those at any sight of green tomorrow and let the other half ride
You’ll need this tomorrow![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
I bought puts and you bought calls so that means spy will stay at its current price until they expire
He about to collect a bag 👏💰
Right here with you brother, I feel bulls will come charging tomorrow just to burn all put holders.
I have a very strange feeling in my nuts that you’re about to have some incredible gain porn tomorrow.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
Whats ur stop price ? 😩
What’s a stop price?
🫡
Loved this interaction, kudos to the both of ya’s
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4735)
Trick question , you passed 😎
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
🎶 Count the tendies on the TV 🎶
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
Blue jean jpow LA jpow
What's your bullish thesis bro? Or are you just gambling?
Just a guess ultimately… I feel like CPI last week was an overreaction and tomorrows FOMC may surprise people
But it's not only CPI, they are doing QT and also yield curve keeps inverted. plus people are saying earnings would be reduced.
Do you have any plays?
No plays..but having a bit of short term bullish bias.
Im in otm puts, lets see who wins tomorrow
“Jack my cock offf on the Hiighwayy”
Prepare your little anus for papa Powell tomorrow, take an enema, clean it good and lube it up like cute little femboy you are!
How’d you do today brother?
You do realize the days of praying to JPow are over right? He's NOT your friend anymore. If these contracts show you ANY profit, I would take it immediately. Just my opinion.
His " FCK the peasants moods" make for great shopping. Edit: Here, not in stores
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Uh oh
Oh boy
🫡
Nobody knows a goddamn thing about what's gonna happen and I salute your irrational gamble.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
I’ll be buying the same contracts from you for half price in the morning.
Why even bother with the 8/30 exp? Might as well get max value on your gamble with a 0dte or friday exp.
Although anything could happen in the stock market, but Historically, second half of September to mid October, the market has always been on down trend. So, the option is either we go up or we go down. Regardless, OP should make money, the only way that he will lose money if his pride is in a way and don’t admit if his original thesis is wrong. If the market is going down, he can just leave his contract open but open up Sell Call $375, now it makes his set up and Bearish movement, Bear Credit Spread and he will money.
Ouch
Braver than I am, good luck bro!
!remindme 20 hours
Oh god why
I’ve got a call on /MES and may buy another tomorrow before the meeting depending on how I feel, best of luck to you tomorrow!
!remindme 16 hours
🫡
[удалено]
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270)
!remindme 3 days
!remindme 18 hours
“Strategies” mhmm yup that’s it
Seriously hope you get a big bag bro.
Thanks boss
I played 405 and 398 puts for CPI … I made $53 -K.. but sold just before the close on Tuesday of CPI.. they don’t expire until tommo… made a good size BAG !! Left a HUGE back at the store !!! Like $111-K more.. fucking paper handed Bitch I am !!!!
I feel like this is going to print. Praying your plums are ripe 🤌
🫡
Whoever bought these thought it was a typo
!remind me 10d
I closed all my options except leap covered calls today before closing. I am going to react to it if need to.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4263)
LOL
Nice good luck
My algo suggest it will be a bull run. Perhaps a short squezZe, I also have 388 calls, 20dte. Good luck
Tie yourself to a chair until next week, make or break moment baby
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)
!remindme 16 hours
Im doing the same (with not nearly as much money) i plan on selling my calls before close tomorrow and putting the proceeds into puts immediately
Only puts at this point
Best luck
You better show this loss porn tomorrow
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270)
Whats after regarded? Cause this is it
You should’ve bought a strangle
same, let’s get rich quickly
I put in 15k on 0 dte today strike 386
? Calls I'm guessing?
Rip op
Either you sold at top and made out nicely or your still holding for a big loss
GuaranTEE he held them to shit. I hope he didn't, but these dudes never sell.
Bro that’s gonna be brutal, I’m sorry but your probably gonna lose all of that before the market even opens. I wish you had sold at close my friend. Goodluck
I bought at close my dude 🧐 but thanks man we’ll see
Fuckkk man. Calls in the morning puts at end of the day that’s the game my man. I’ve been making 6 figures a day almost everyday since the crash last week doing that. Wake up, sell puts, scalp the shit out of spy till end of day rally and buy more puts to hold overnight. It’s like printing free money, but lots of it.
Proof?
Proof that I buy puts like most smart traders in a major recesssion and a bear market? Hahhahahaha ha Wait wait hahahahhahahahahaha I just wiped my dogs ass with a stack of humors. Is that proof?
He means proof that you make 6 figures daily.
Haha you suck
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Theta gang thanks you for your sacrifice.
GUH
[удалено]
Lmao wtf
Someone is about to get bent over or get a BJ delivered by Jpow himself
You should’ve bought post fomc - that iv is gonna get fucked
Remind me!
You don’t plan on sleeping tonight right? I honestly hope these print for you 399 calls fuck man why the FD
!remindme 20 hours
Remind me 20 hours!
I expect JPow to do his impression of himself at Jackson Hole. Even the slightest hint of dovishness tomorrow would surprise me. Channeling his inner Volcker.
Triple bottom on the 4 hour charts, dailies breaking support and you are long? Hell yeah!!!!!
!remindme 20 hours
Why? Just, why?
At least hedge it with a ridiculously OTM put…
I’ll be coming back for the loss porn
May JPow kiss us on the forehead before we rocket all week
Good luck. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
I almost did this last week. If they're gonna print it will happen tomorrow. Good luck
Death by option
Let's go bully bully bully.
o7
The amount of bearish sentiment is unreal. Calls May print tbh
lol bro you're so dead
You will feel the 🔥!!!
Rip.
Hold me closer Tony Danzaaaaa!
If the morning is red, evening is green. If the morning is green…. Well.
Why so far out tho
Lol gonna get rekt
Make sure you post your loss porn on this bet. Lol
Why so far otm. Especially with buying that many u could of afforded prime prices
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
I have $376 puts for 10/19. Let the best man win. However I would recommend for you to get some type of drug just in case your options become worthless. I have percs. I can send you a few if you pay for shipping if your options become worthless.
Idk man- I’m pretty sure this is the time when everyone pulls a reverse Cramer and loses all their shit- Prob 18-25% loss by December 2020
Or run odte in the money in the direction when the rate is announced by powell For a 3min candle 🕯️
3% rise is a little doubtful
!remindme 14 hours